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Fund Returns
QTD+1.52%
YTD+7.03%
Annualized+11.26%
Positioning StanceCONSTRUCTIVE
Market CapLarge Cap
GeographyUS
Digest Analysis
Quick Take
"Driven by life sciences and enterprise software gains, while initiating a position in CME Group and divesting CDW Corporation and Honeywell Aerospace."
Executive Summary
The Madison Large Cap Fund (Class I) returned 1.53% net of fees in the third quarter of 2026, trailing the S&P 500 Index return of 2.30%, while advancing 7.11% net of fees year-to-date. Broader equity markets faced an under-the-surface rotation as rising interest rates and elevated energy costs pressured cyclical and interest-rate-sensitive equities, resulting in steep drawdowns across small and mid-cap indices. The fund maintained an active share of 86.92% across a concentrated portfolio of 30 holdings, preserving a disciplined quality bias alongside a cash allocation of 4.83%.
Macroeconomic headwinds were defined by climbing bond yields, persistent inflation, and shifting market leadership away from rate-sensitive segments. Simultaneously, broad investor focus remained concentrated on capital expenditure for artificial intelligence data center infrastructure. The investment team noted historical precedents where capital cycles inevitably peak, while highlighting market mispricing where 'asset-light' business models have been indiscriminately penalized by AI-disruption fears, opening up selective entry points.
Portfolio turnover was highlighted by initiating a new position in CME Group at roughly 20x forward earnings, capitalizing on mispriced concerns over perpetual futures and regulatory shifts. Conversely, the fund completely exited hardware and software solutions provider CDW Corporation after rising reinvestment requirements eroded profit growth, and liquidated Honeywell Aerospace following chronic supply chain disruptions that broke the original investment thesis.
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Algorithmic conviction, macroeconomic posture, and risk appetite signals extracted from this quarterly letter with qualitative explanations.
Signal Matrix
Market Conviction
68%
CautiousHigh
Moderate (68%)
A moderately concentrated portfolio of 30 holdings with top 10 positions comprising 51.44% of total fund assets. The managers demonstrated decisive capital allocation by exiting broken theses in CDW and Honeywell, though overall communication relies on balanced institutional phrasing.
Growth Outlook
55%
BearishBullish
Neutral (55%)
A balanced stance. While the managers note corporate profit resilience and identify compelling opportunities in asset-light companies, they warn that the AI capital cycle will eventually peak and acknowledge persistent interest rate and energy headwinds.
Risk Appetite
58%
DefensiveAggressive
Balanced (58%)
Steady equity positioning with 4.83% held in cash and 95.17% in high-quality common equities. The fund is not using leverage or aggressive risk-on beta, preferring defensive compounding and resilient balance sheets.
Capital Deployment
52%
De-riskingDeploying
Net Neutral (52%)
Net-neutral redeployment. Proceeds generated from the sales of Honeywell Aerospace and CDW Corporation were redirected into the newly initiated CME Group position and existing high-conviction holdings.
Forward Guidance
60%
CautiousExpansionary
Neutral (60%)
A measured, selective buying stance. The managers explicitly added CME Group at attractive multiples and are selectively evaluating mispriced asset-light businesses, but are not deploying capital aggressively across the broader universe.
Language Signal
55%
BearishBullish
Balanced (55%)
A score of 0.55 represents a slight net positive tilt in vocabulary. Constructive commentary regarding 'compelling opportunities,' 'resilient fundamentals,' and 'crown jewel assets' is counterbalanced by warnings of 'supply chain headaches,' 'drawdowns,' 'sticky inflation,' and 'capital cycles.'
Perceived Risk
62%
Low RiskElevated
Moderate Risk (62%)
A tangible recognition of macro hazards. The letter details risks including higher interest rates, energy inflation, severe market drawdowns, geopolitical tensions, and an eventual decline in the AI infrastructure capital cycle.
Opportunity Density
58%
ScarceAbundant
Selective (58%)
Selective opportunity recognition. The managers describe being 'extremely discerning' when sifting through the equity universe, uncovering a 'handful of very compelling opportunities' rather than broad-based bargains.
Time Horizon
72%
Short-TermLong-Term
Decade+ (72%)
A score of 0.72 corresponds to a multi-year investment horizon. Portfolio turnover stands at a modest 21.00%, and the managers stress investing in businesses that have successfully navigated numerous economic cycles over long horizons.