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Fund Returns
QTD-11.42%
YTD+10.98%
Annualized+11.47%
Positioning StanceCONSTRUCTIVE
Market CapSmallCap
GeographyUS
Digest Analysis
Quick Take
"Constructive on high-quality small-cap equities entering an earnings recovery cycle, selectively adding resilient healthcare in $LH while maintaining disciplined exposure to differentiated industrial and AI infrastructure compounders."
Executive Summary
The Mairs & Power Small Cap Fund recorded a net-of-fees return of -11.42% for the third quarter of 2026, trailing the Russell 2000 Total Return Index benchmark return of -7.23% and the S&P SmallCap 600 TR return of -6.93%. Year-to-date through September 30, 2026, the Fund gained 10.98% net of fees compared to 13.71% for the Russell 2000 TR and 14.08% for the S&P SmallCap 600 TR. Relative underperformance over the first nine months stemmed primarily from stock selection, which offset favorable sector allocation as small-cap equities retraced first-half advances amid rate pressures.
The macroeconomic environment was characterized by resilient broader economic growth accompanied by persistent inflationary headwinds, driven by geopolitical conflict with Iran and oil trading near $100 per barrel. Long-term interest rates ascended, with the ten-year Treasury yield ending at 5.25% following a Federal Reserve rate hike. While massive capital investment into artificial intelligence infrastructure continues toward an anticipated $1 trillion by 2027, the strategy maintains a conservative stance against cyclical hardware commoditization while anticipating a cyclical recovery in small-cap corporate earnings after two years of contraction.
Key positive performance drivers year-to-date included technology and industrial compounders Entegris, Cognex, Plexus, Littelfuse, and nVent Electric, which benefited from robust AI-related infrastructure and automation demand. Performance detractors included Patrick Industries, JBT Marel, Knife River, Hub Group, and Workiva, pressured by higher interest rates and end-market uncertainty. Portfolio activity featured the initiation of a 2.02% position in diagnostic testing leader Labcorp Holdings, while executing zero portfolio exits during the quarter.
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Algorithmic conviction, macroeconomic posture, and risk appetite signals extracted from this quarterly letter with qualitative explanations.
Signal Matrix
Market Conviction
58%
CautiousHigh
Moderate (58%)
Position sizing is moderately diversified across high-conviction holdings with top positions weighted between 2% and 4%, while management maintained full discipline by executing zero portfolio exits during the third-quarter pullback.
Growth Outlook
55%
BearishBullish
Neutral (55%)
Management maintains a constructive view on small-cap earnings growth recovery and reasonable valuations, tempered by caution around elevated interest rates, energy inflation, and cyclical AI hardware spending.
Risk Appetite
55%
DefensiveAggressive
Balanced (55%)
Capital remains committed to equity compounders across industrials and technology, while defensive balance was deliberately sought through the addition of recurring-revenue diagnostic testing in Labcorp Holdings.
Capital Deployment
52%
De-riskingDeploying
Net Neutral (52%)
Portfolio deployment was stable, marked by the measured addition of Labcorp Holdings as a 2.02% position with zero position eliminations during the period.
Forward Guidance
60%
CautiousExpansionary
Neutral (60%)
The investment team intends to selectively capitalize on compelling small-cap relative valuations, anticipating broadening earnings growth across quality companies while avoiding speculative hardware cycles.
Language Signal
56%
BearishBullish
Balanced (56%)
Constructive language highlighting durable competitive advantages, compelling small-cap valuations, and secular trends is balanced against risks concerning $100 oil, 7% mortgage rates, and $40 trillion U.S. debt.
Perceived Risk
65%
Low RiskElevated
Elevated Risk (65%)
Management explicitly details significant macro risks including Mideast war extending past six months, low strategic oil reserves, 5.25% Treasury yields, and AI disruption fears.
Opportunity Density
55%
ScarceAbundant
Selective (55%)
Management observes attractive opportunities selectively in high-quality small-cap franchises and recurring healthcare services, though broader market conditions remain constrained by cyclical uncertainties.
Time Horizon
80%
Short-TermLong-Term
Decade+ (80%)
The fund emphasizes long-term business development, explicitly holding through short-term market sentiment and aiming to let competitive advantages and compounding earnings develop over multi-year cycles.