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Fund Returns
QTD+4.75%
YTD+10.92%
Annualized+8.9%
Positioning StanceCONSTRUCTIVE
Market CapLarge Cap
GeographyUS
Digest Analysis
Quick Take
"Constructive on high-quality value equities and mission-critical enterprise software, trimming Workday into strength while deploying into cyclical leaders like Aptiv and maintaining overweight exposure to cash-generative energy producers."
Executive Summary
The Hotchkis & Wiley Large Cap Disciplined Value Fund (I Shares) returned +4.75% net of fees in the third quarter of 2026, outperforming the Russell 1000 Value Index return of +2.61% and bringing year-to-date net performance to +10.92% net of fees compared to +12.7% for the broad S&P 500 Index. Stock selection in information technology drove positive relative performance, supported by substantial gains in enterprise software, while an overweight allocation to the energy sector and favorable selection in industrials provided incremental alpha. Conversely, index reconstitution effects and benchmark-only mega-cap holdings, specifically Apple and an underweight stance in Microsoft, served as the primary performance detractors during the period.
The macroeconomic environment was shaped by persistent inflationary pressures, with headline CPI rising 3.4% year-over-year and prompting the Federal Reserve to implement a 25 basis point rate hike to 4.0%. Concurrently, long-term interest rates surged, with 10-year Treasury yields reaching 5.3% and 30-year mortgages crossing 7%, exerting sharp pressure on rate-sensitive utilities and real estate. Meanwhile, geopolitical unrest in the Middle East sparked a surge in Brent crude to $104 per barrel. Against this backdrop, equity market leadership shifted meaningfully as earlier speculative momentum in artificial intelligence infrastructure moderated, paving the way for a rotation back into high-quality, fundamentally sound value equities.
Portfolio activity reflected disciplined opportunistic positioning, as the manager capitalized on temporary market dislocations while trimming winners into strength. Exposure to enterprise software leader Workday was trimmed following sharp share price appreciation, though it remains the fund's largest position, while the fund maintained significant conviction in Salesforce and independent E&P operator APA Corp. On pullbacks, capital was selectively deployed into high-quality franchise cyclical assets, including adding to automotive technology supplier Aptiv, while maintaining high long-term conviction across undervalued core holdings such as Ericsson and PPG Industries.
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Algorithmic conviction, macroeconomic posture, and risk appetite signals extracted from this quarterly letter with qualitative explanations.
Signal Matrix
Market Conviction
76%
CautiousHigh
High Conviction (76%)
Hotchkis & Wiley demonstrates high conviction through well-articulated, falsifiable fundamental analyses and high concentration in its top 10 positions (accounting for 30.8% of assets), led by Workday at 5.4% and APA Corp. at 3.7%. The team explicitly backed its contrarian software views during market pessimism and scaled into fallen cyclicals like Aptiv, while maintaining clear thesis milestones across lagging core holdings such as Ericsson.
Growth Outlook
65%
BearishBullish
Bullish (65%)
The manager expresses constructive sentiment on disciplined value equities as speculative cycle froth subsides and fundamental valuation discipline reasserts itself across equity markets. While acknowledging macroeconomic cross-currents such as sticky 3.4% inflation, Fed rate hikes, and surging 10-year Treasury yields, the outlook anticipates strong relative durability for sound, attractively priced companies.
Risk Appetite
70%
DefensiveAggressive
Balanced (70%)
Positioning remains net-long and risk-tolerant toward quality cyclicals and enterprise tech, evidenced by active position scaling in Aptiv on earnings weakness and an overweight stance in oil exploration. The portfolio deliberately avoids rate-sensitive defensives like real estate and utilities, reflecting an active willingness to absorb factor volatility for valuation upside.
Capital Deployment
60%
De-riskingDeploying
Net Neutral (60%)
Portfolio actions indicate net neutral to modest deployment, characterized by disciplined capital recycling that trimmed sharply appreciated software holdings like Workday while deploying capital into underperforming cyclicals like Aptiv.
Forward Guidance
68%
CautiousExpansionary
Expansionary (68%)
Forward guidance leans toward selective capital deployment and contrarian accumulation where valuation multiples deviate from normalized earnings power. The manager demonstrated active rebalancing by harvesting gains in Workday following buyout rumors while actively accumulating shares in beaten-down auto technology leaders.
Language Signal
72%
BearishBullish
Bullish (72%)
Directional language leans predominantly bullish, emphasizing phrases like 'best-in-class unit economics,' 'attractive valuation,' 'structural cost improvements,' and 'long runway for growth.' Risk language is primarily confined to macro observations regarding inflation and rising bond yields rather than fundamental business impairments.
Perceived Risk
62%
Low RiskElevated
Moderate Risk (62%)
The letter details substantial macro risks including elevated 10-year yields (5.3%), Middle East conflict escalation, crude supply shocks, and multi-decade lows in Michigan consumer sentiment, though the team views these risks as manageable for high-quality value equities.
Opportunity Density
70%
ScarceAbundant
Abundant (70%)
The team highlights an attractive investable opportunity set emerging from broad market dislocations, particularly within mispriced mission-critical software, cash-generative energy producers, and cyclical auto tech suppliers trading below normal earnings power.
Time Horizon
75%
Short-TermLong-Term
Decade+ (75%)
The manager operates on a multi-year investment horizon (2 to 5 years), evaluating businesses on 'normal earnings' power, mid-cycle cash generation, and multi-year contract conversions rather than near-term quarterly noise.