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Fund Returns
QTD+5.36%
YTD+17.71%
Annualized+11.17%
Positioning StanceCONSTRUCTIVE
Market CapMid Cap
GeographyUS
Digest Analysis
Quick Take
"Constructive on disciplined mid-cap value and mission-critical enterprise software, leveraging energy overweight gains while maintaining conviction in underearning cyclicals with robust capital return profiles."
Executive Summary
The Hotchkis & Wiley Mid-Cap Value Fund (I Shares) advanced +5.36% net of fees in the third quarter of 2026, bringing its year-to-date net return to +17.71%. The strategy generated meaningful relative alpha against the benchmark Russell Midcap Value Index, which declined -1.98% in Q3 and gained +15.25% YTD, as well as the broader Russell Midcap Index (-3.0% in Q3). Relative outperformance was primarily driven by positive stock selection across industrials, technology, and communication services, alongside a beneficial overweight position in the energy sector (+11% benchmark sector return), which overcame headwinds stemming from benchmark reconstitution and biotechnology rallies.
Macroeconomic crosscurrents defined the quarter as the Federal Reserve resumed monetary tightening with a 25 basis point rate hike to 4.00% amid persistent inflation (CPI at 3.4% year-over-year). Long-term interest rates surged, with 10-year Treasury yields reaching 5.3% and 30-year yields climbing to 5.6%, prompting weakness in rate-sensitive and consumer discretionary sectors. Meanwhile, geopolitical turmoil in the Middle East and tanker disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz drove physical Dated Brent crude up 68% to $120 per barrel. At the same time, speculative momentum behind artificial intelligence infrastructure paused amid financing concerns, enabling disciplined value and high-quality fundamentals to reassert market leadership over high-beta momentum.
Portfolio activity was marked by a partial trim in Workday following strong price performance and takeover reports, while maintaining high conviction in its enterprise software economics. In energy, top holding APA Corp. generated strong free cash flow and Permian operational efficiency. Other high-conviction positions highlighted include student loan originator SLM Corp, chlor-alkali producer Olin, and integrated power producer NRG Energy, whose respective share repurchases and earnings normalization profiles remain sound despite near-term idiosyncratic headwinds.
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Algorithmic conviction, macroeconomic posture, and risk appetite signals extracted from this quarterly letter with qualitative explanations.
Signal Matrix
Market Conviction
72%
CautiousHigh
High Conviction (72%)
Positioning displays moderate-to-high conviction with specific top-ten disclosures comprising sizable active stakes such as APA Corp. (4.6%) and Workday (4.4%). The managers articulate clear fundamental earnings cases across individual holdings, but moderate overall portfolio conviction through disciplined trimming on strength and broad industrial diversification.
Growth Outlook
58%
BearishBullish
Neutral (58%)
The tone is constructive yet grounded in late-cycle prudence, welcoming the rotation from speculative momentum to valuation and fundamental quality. However, elevated long-term Treasury yields and renewed macroeconomic inflation pressures temper broader exuberance.
Risk Appetite
62%
DefensiveAggressive
Balanced (62%)
Capital remains directed toward cyclical recovery beneficiaries in energy and underearning industrial chemicals, balanced by defensive allocations to cash-generative enterprise software. Trimming Workday into takeover-driven strength reflects prudent risk containment.
Capital Deployment
52%
De-riskingDeploying
Net Neutral (52%)
Net portfolio turnover remained balanced as the fund trimmed positions following share price run-ups while allowing existing cash flows to compound across core holdings.
Forward Guidance
55%
CautiousExpansionary
Neutral (55%)
Management signals steady adherence to its established value philosophy without aggressive macro pivots. Forward actions emphasize monitoring capital allocation, buyback execution, and debt reduction across existing names rather than aggressive new sector redeployments.
Language Signal
64%
BearishBullish
Balanced (64%)
Commentary heavily features constructive terminology around 'attractively valued,' 'strong free cash flow,' and 'superior unit economics.' These positive descriptors are tempered by analytical warnings regarding data center financing strains and consumer sentiment fragility.
Perceived Risk
62%
Low RiskElevated
Moderate Risk (62%)
Managers highlight substantial macro and systemic threats, including 10-year yields breaching 5.3%, 30-year mortgages crossing 7%, Middle East tanker attacks, and AI data center capital constraints.
Opportunity Density
65%
ScarceAbundant
Abundant (65%)
The investable universe provides selective, highly defined value opportunities, particularly within software companies trading at substantial discounts to historical norms and out-of-favor commodity chemical producers.
Time Horizon
75%
Short-TermLong-Term
Decade+ (75%)
The strategy evaluates businesses through a multi-year lens focused on 3- to 5-year normalized earnings power, explicitly looking past temporary quarter-to-quarter earnings volatility in holdings like Olin and SLM Corp.