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Fund Returns
YTD-4.03%
Annualized+2.65%
Positioning StanceCAUTIOUS
GeographyUS
Digest Analysis
Quick Take
"Employs an absolute-return value framework across corporate debt, preferreds, and Treasuries, tactically shifting duration and security structures to safeguard capital against rising interest rates."
Executive Summary
The Bramshill Income Performance Fund posted a year-to-date return of -4.03% net of fees through the third quarter of 2026, compared to -1.10% for the Wilshire Liquid Alternative Relative Value Index and -2.90% for the Bloomberg U.S. Aggregate Bond Index. Since inception in April 2016, the fund has generated an annualized net return of 2.65%. The unlevered tactical portfolio held a 30-day SEC yield of 4.99%, a yield to maturity of 6.62%, and an effective duration of 8.79 years as of September 30, 2026. Asset allocation remained anchored by investment grade corporate bonds at 56.3% and cash and U.S. Treasuries at 20.5%, supplemented by 13.5% in preferred securities, 5.6% in high yield corporates, 3.4% in municipals, and 0.7% in hedges.
Bramshill’s macroeconomic approach integrates top-down relative value and interest rate analysis with a strict probability-of-loss framework. The investment team actively manages duration risk and credit spreads, adapting exposures as inflation and monetary policy dictate. In rising interest rate periods, the strategy emphasizes structural rotations away from long-duration fixed-for-life securities and into fixed-to-reset, floating-coupon, and short-duration investment-grade paper to minimize capital drawdowns.
Portfolio positioning remains concentrated in high-credit-quality instruments, adhering to a mandate where at least 60% of holdings maintain investment-grade ratings. Top holdings include U.S. Treasuries across long maturities (6.10% in the 1 5/8% of 2050 and 6.00% in the 1 3/8% of 2050), alongside the SPDR Short Term Corporate Bond ETF at 5.10%, Wells Fargo corporate bonds at 3.10%, and BP perpetual preferred securities at 2.70%.
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Algorithmic conviction, macroeconomic posture, and risk appetite signals extracted from this quarterly letter with qualitative explanations.
Signal Matrix
Market Conviction
45%
CautiousHigh
Moderate (45%)
The fund operates a diversified fixed income portfolio targeting 50 to 100 positions with strict single-issuer caps between 10% and 20%. While top holdings such as long-term U.S. Treasuries and short-term debt ETFs are clearly sized, individual credit risk is intentionally dispersed across high-grade issuers.
Growth Outlook
40%
BearishBullish
Neutral (40%)
The team maintains a cautious macro outlook, highlighting vulnerabilities to sharp rate increases and equity market stress across fixed income sectors. Emphasis is placed on downside protection, probability of loss, and downside stress testing rather than aggressive market appreciation.
Risk Appetite
35%
DefensiveAggressive
Defensive (35%)
Portfolio risk is defensively positioned, maintaining a 20.5% allocation to Cash and U.S. Treasuries and over 56% in investment grade credit while limiting high yield exposure to just 5.6%. Predefined stop-loss discipline and conservative credit rating minimums emphasize capital preservation over risk-seeking.
Capital Deployment
45%
De-riskingDeploying
Net Neutral (45%)
Capital posture is net neutral to slightly defensive, holding 20.5% in cash and U.S. Treasuries alongside active duration management. The team maintains ample liquidity buffers to respond to forced-selling events and rate dislocations.
Forward Guidance
45%
CautiousExpansionary
Neutral (45%)
Guidance focuses on tactical rotation and dynamic position adjustments in response to interest rate shifts rather than broad aggressive capital deployment. The managers prioritize preserving flexibility, utilizing short-duration paper and floating structures as tactical buffers.
Language Signal
40%
BearishBullish
Balanced (40%)
The document's vocabulary is predominantly shaped by risk mitigation concepts, including 'probability of loss,' 'stress testing,' 'drawdown prevention,' and 'stop losses.' Discussions of market opportunities are couched in relative-value and defensive structural selections.
Perceived Risk
65%
Low RiskElevated
Elevated Risk (65%)
The presentation devotes significant attention to risks, detailing historical drawdowns during rising interest rate spikes and equity duress periods. Explicit stress-testing scenarios for interest rate shocks and credit spread widening reflect heightened environmental risk sensitivity.
Opportunity Density
50%
ScarceAbundant
Selective (50%)
The managers observe selective relative-value opportunities across distinct fixed income structures, such as fixed-to-float preferreds and junior subordinated notes, while acknowledging broad-market rate headwinds. Capital deployment is targeted toward niche capital structure dislocations.
Time Horizon
55%
Short-TermLong-Term
Multi-Year (55%)
The strategy balances multi-year income compounding with tactical duration and curve rotation over 1 to 3 year horizons. Portfolio adjustments are driven by interest rate cycles and credit event dislocations rather than long-term buy-and-hold equity compounding.