AI, China, emerging markets, India, semiconductors, tariffs, technology
DeepSeek's AI model announcement triggered a sharp rally in Chinese tech stocks, particularly benefiting cloud providers like Alibaba and Tencent. However, concerns emerged that more efficient AI models might reduce demand and capex in the tech value chain, pressuring semiconductor and tech hardware stocks.
AI-driven tech rally continued in Taiwan, lifting local tech stocks at the epicenter of US AI infrastructure buildout. Memory chip producers benefited from confirmed chip shortages and price increases for DRAM and HBM chips. AI delivery has become a critical component of the US economy, with Beijing expected to build a rival AI ecosystem. Technology stocks rallied driven by semiconductors, specifically memory stocks, as confirmed chip shortages resulted in noticeable price increases for DRAM and HBM chips. This proved particularly beneficial for South Korean heavyweights and leading memory chip producers like SK Hynix and Samsung Electronics. China and Hong Kong were detractors as markets sold off amid softer growth and underwhelming government response. Despite deflation concerns, southbound flows have accelerated in 2025, suggesting greater risk appetite among Chinese investors that could drive a wealth effect supporting consumption. Trump's tariffs suggest goals of shifting manufacturing and raising revenue for tax cuts are prime. Market consensus sees a move towards breakdown in China-US trade, though pace and extent of decoupling remain uncertain. Trump has extended tariff pressure to India and Brazil, but agreements to reduce tariffs are expected. Copper miner Grupo Mexico rallied on rising copper demand driven by electrification and data center growth. The miner, with access to low-cost reserves, remains a long-term beneficiary. Copper and other minerals have gained from AI infrastructure development and energy transition.
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