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| Quarter | Letter Date | Fund Name | QTD | YTD | Tickers | Keywords/Themes | Theme Commentary | Pitches | Letter |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 Q4 | Feb 17, 2026 | Aegis Value Fund | 0.0% | 67.1% | ARREF, ARX.TO, ASTL.TO, ATH.TO, BOCH, CVE.TO, CYL.AX, EFX.TO, EQX.TO, HNRG, IFP.TO, IPCO.TO, KMR.L, MEG.TO, NGS, ORE.TO, PD.TO, VET.TO | commodities, Dollar, energy, gold, Mining, Precious Metals, small cap, value | Gold rocketed up 64.6% in 2025 as global sentiment soured on the dollar amid government fiscal profligacy and untenable debt levels. Investors shifted towards precious metals as a safe haven for wealth preservation, with global ETF demand soaring and China buying gold hand-over-fist. Gold overtook US Treasuries as the primary reserve asset in central banks worldwide. Precious metals mining stocks soared with the MVIS Global Junior Gold Miners Index increasing 176.5% and NYSE Arca Gold Miners Index climbing 158.28%. The Fund's 23.4% allocation to 22 precious metals mining positions delivered 35.01 percentage points of Fund returns. Despite recent gains, the sector remains substantially undervalued vis-à-vis the market. WTI crude prices dropped 19.9% in 2025, delivering oil's worst year since 2020. OPEC incrementally increased production quotas by 2.9 million barrels/day amid trade tensions while Chinese demand growth moderated. The oil-to-gold ratio is now at historic lows outside the 2020 pandemic, suggesting oil assets may be undervalued debasement safe-havens. Hyperscalers are investing nearly $1.5 trillion in capex over the next 24 months for data-center construction. Data centers will grow to represent 12% of all US energy use by 2028, up from 4.4% in 2023. This creates investment opportunities in electricity and natural gas producers as reliable power generation becomes a key bottleneck. Natural gas pricing was flat with spot Henry Hub prices edging up just 1.46% from a year ago. However, natural gas appears to have fully recovered from its glut as substantial North American LNG export capacity came online and data-center electricity requirements increased demand for natural gas generation. The dollar index delivered a nearly 10% decline over the year as investor sentiment towards the dollar weakened considerably. Factors included federal debt topping $38 trillion, a more dovish Federal Reserve, increasing American tariffs, and dollar weaponization through financial system sanctions. | ASTL CN CVE CN CYL AU ORE CN EQX CN |
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| 2025 Q4 | Jan 16, 2026 | Massif Capital | 9.6% | 50.0% | 1211.HK, BHP, ENVX, EQNR, EQX.TO, GLEN.L, GLO.TO, GMIN.V, Gold, HBR.L, KGHM, LITM, LRV.AX, LUN.TO, LYB, MGN.V, MMA.V, RIO, VALE, VAR.OL | commodities, Copper, energy, geopolitics, gold, inflation, Mining, real assets | Portfolio exposure narrowed from 16% to 10% in single position (Equinox Gold). Manager believes gold serves as monetary hedge amid central bank independence concerns and persistent inverse relationship with dollar. Central bank accumulation from emerging markets expected to continue. Largest theme at 29% allocation across core positions. Structurally tight physical market with mine supply disruptions exceeding 6% of global output. Treatment charges collapsed to negative levels signaling constrained concentrate availability. Policy-driven stockpiling creates upside convexity. 16% portfolio allocation expecting price volatility as base case. Market characterized by visible surplus yet episodic geopolitical premiums. Focus on companies with proven economics at mid-cycle prices and flexible capital programs rather than directional oil price bets. Manager challenges assumptions about demand destruction and rapid substitution in energy. Views transition as energy addition rather than replacement, raising near-term energy intensity. Supply governed by decline rates rather than responsiveness. Policy creating regional cost asymmetries and oligopolies in heavy industry. Geopolitics now shapes supply chains, governs capital access, and determines project feasibility. Political alignment increasingly influences risk premia and monetization. Persistent inflation driven by labor constraints, energy dynamics, and geopolitical fragmentation challenges embedded assumptions from post-2009 regime. Higher real-rate environment appears durable rather than transitory, altering risk-return arithmetic. | GLO CN LAR LUN CN MMA CN EQNR NO HBR LN VAR NO GMIN CN EQX CN |
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| Date | Pitch Type | Author | Company | Industry | Sub Industry | Bull / Bear | Stock Exchange | Keywords | Action |
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| Manager Name | Fund Name | Fund AUM | Invested Value | Portfolio Weight | Shares Owned | Shares Bought / Sold During Quarter | % Bought / Sold During Quarter | % of Shares Outstanding Owned |
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