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| Quarter | Letter Date | Fund Name | QTD | YTD | Tickers | Keywords/Themes | Theme Commentary | Pitches | Letter |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 Q4 | Jan 22, 2026 | Third Avenue Value Fund | 7.4% | 35.2% | 0001.HK, 2603.TW, 6951.T, 6955.T, BIRG.L, BMW.DE, BZU.MI, CMA, CS, DB, HBR.L, HCC, IFP.TO, LUN.TO, SFOR.L, SSUB.OL, SUBCY, TDW, VAL | Banking, Copper, energy, Europe, Mining, Resource Conversion, value | Fund holds significant positions in copper miners Lundin Mining and Capstone Copper, viewing copper as indispensable to modern economies with exceptional supply challenges. Manager believes copper demand growth has evolved from Chinese construction to renewables, electric transportation, and data center construction, while supply increases remain elusive due to aging mines, declining ore quality, and decade-plus timelines for new projects. Warrior Met Coal was the single largest contributor to Fund performance during the quarter, benefiting from early completion of Blue Creek metallurgical coal mine eight months ahead of schedule. The completion portends far higher coal production, much lower capital spending, and likely return to significant cash distributions to shareholders. Manager discusses the materials-intensive nature of renewable energy infrastructure, noting the irony that mining companies producing materials for solar panels, wind turbines, electrical grids, and batteries were deemed global pariahs while renewable energy companies were market darlings. The build out of data centers and electrical infrastructure has become entwined with copper consumption growth. Fund holds offshore oil and gas service providers and one upstream producer, believing more offshore spending is required to maintain current production levels. Manager notes U.S. onshore production growth has slowed significantly due to lower drilling activity, exhaustion of Tier 1 acreage, and water challenges, potentially leading to future production declines that would enhance the importance of long-life offshore production. Manager highlights a profound divergence in U.S. sanctions activity, noting recent seizure of dark fleet oil tankers, arrest of Nicolas Maduro, U.S. claim of control over Venezuela's energy industry, and sanctions on Russia's largest oil producers. This marks a departure from decades of avoiding sanctions that would impact energy flows, with gunboat diplomacy and military embargos returning. Manager emphasizes resource conversion activity including share buybacks as a key component of their investment approach for undervalued, well-financed companies. The Fund focuses on companies where management teams can create shareholder value through buybacks, recapitalizations, special dividends, asset disposals, spin-offs, acquisitions, or sale of the business. | View | |
| 2025 Q4 | Jan 16, 2026 | Massif Capital | 9.6% | 50.0% | 1211.HK, BHP, ENVX, EQNR, EQX.TO, GLEN.L, GLO.TO, GMIN.V, Gold, HBR.L, KGHM, LITM, LRV.AX, LUN.TO, LYB, MGN.V, MMA.V, RIO, VALE, VAR.OL | commodities, Copper, energy, geopolitics, gold, inflation, Mining, real assets | Portfolio exposure narrowed from 16% to 10% in single position (Equinox Gold). Manager believes gold serves as monetary hedge amid central bank independence concerns and persistent inverse relationship with dollar. Central bank accumulation from emerging markets expected to continue. Largest theme at 29% allocation across core positions. Structurally tight physical market with mine supply disruptions exceeding 6% of global output. Treatment charges collapsed to negative levels signaling constrained concentrate availability. Policy-driven stockpiling creates upside convexity. 16% portfolio allocation expecting price volatility as base case. Market characterized by visible surplus yet episodic geopolitical premiums. Focus on companies with proven economics at mid-cycle prices and flexible capital programs rather than directional oil price bets. Manager challenges assumptions about demand destruction and rapid substitution in energy. Views transition as energy addition rather than replacement, raising near-term energy intensity. Supply governed by decline rates rather than responsiveness. Policy creating regional cost asymmetries and oligopolies in heavy industry. Geopolitics now shapes supply chains, governs capital access, and determines project feasibility. Political alignment increasingly influences risk premia and monetization. Persistent inflation driven by labor constraints, energy dynamics, and geopolitical fragmentation challenges embedded assumptions from post-2009 regime. Higher real-rate environment appears durable rather than transitory, altering risk-return arithmetic. | GLO CN LAR LUN CN MMA CN EQNR NO HBR LN VAR NO GMIN CN EQX CN |
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| Date | Pitch Type | Author | Company | Industry | Sub Industry | Bull / Bear | Stock Exchange | Keywords | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2026 | Substack | Triples Investing | Harbour Energy plc | Energy | Oil & Gas Exploration & Production | Bull | London Stock Exchange | Acquisitions, buybacks, capital discipline, dividends, Energy Sector, Free Cash Flow, Harbour Energy, oil major, oil price volatility, regulatory challenges | View Pitch |
| Manager Name | Fund Name | Fund AUM | Invested Value | Portfolio Weight | Shares Owned | Shares Bought / Sold During Quarter | % Bought / Sold During Quarter | % of Shares Outstanding Owned |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No investor data available. | ||||||||