Region · Latin America · Q4 2025 · 12 letters
Institutional Perspectives on Latin America
Across 12 letters from 11 hedge funds that touch Latin America exposure, the tone leans bullish. Managers are ranked by conviction and chronological order below.
12 letters11 funds42% bullish
What the 12 letters look like
5 bullish
3
3 bearish
Analysis indicates managers discussing Latin America are primarily constructive.
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James E. Craige, CFA (Chief Investment Officer)
Jul 1, 2026
The signing of a memorandum of understanding between the U.S. and Iran pausing hostilities for 60 days, reopening the Strait of Hormuz, and tempering oil prices.
outlook +0.60
conviction 0.50
Very bullish
Lance Cannon, Brian Smoluch, David Swank
Jun 30, 2026
Continued investment in infrastructure, defense, and industrial capacity in Europe is creating attractive opportunities beneath the modest macro growth surface.
outlook +0.00
conviction 0.00
Neutral
Strongest early-stage companies transitioning from superficial AI demonstrations to measurable business outcomes.
outlook -0.40
conviction 0.80
Bearish
Potential reopening of the Strait of Hormuz which would normalize global LNG and crude shipping flows.
outlook -0.20
conviction 0.80
Bearish
A potential shift in US trade policy negotiations to reduce ultimate tariff burdens, which would bring significant equity market relief.
outlook -0.20
conviction 0.60
Bearish
A potential reversion to historical book value averages for international listed real estate, which could drive up to 40% upside across the sector.
outlook +0.60
conviction 0.80
Very bullish
A highly positive and supportive regulatory environment in the US, including a new pro-crypto SEC chair and the anticipated passage of a bipartisan stablecoin bill.
outlook +0.80
conviction 0.70
Very bullish
U.S. policy shifts including potential corporate tax cuts, deregulation, and protectionist tariff implementation under the incoming administration.
outlook +0.20
conviction 0.70
Bullish
Strong economic growth and financial sector improvement in India.
outlook +0.00
conviction 0.70
Neutral
Capital rotation from fixed income back into equities as interest rates decline.
outlook +0.60
conviction 0.70
Very bullish
Consolidation trends and M&A activity within the copper mining industry due to supply constraints.
outlook +0.00
conviction 0.70
Neutral
Generative AI Integration: Adoption of LLMs and generative AI tools represents a massive wave of secular growth that can dramatically improve corporate productivity and yield high-value new premium software features.
outlook +0.00
conviction 0.70
Neutral