Investor Summary
Fund Strategy
FUND PERFORMANCE AS OF 31st March 2026
| ANNUALIZED SINCE INCEPTION | QUARTERLY | YTD |
|---|---|---|
| 15.7% | -15% | -15% |
| ANNUALIZED SINCE INCEPTION | QUARTERLY | YTD |
|---|---|---|
| 15.7% | -15% | -15% |
Technology Innovators declined 15.0% in Q1 2026 versus the benchmark's 7.0% decline, as global equities faced their largest quarterly drop since 2023 amid the Iran war and energy price surge. The quarter marked a meaningful inflection in AI evolution with agentic AI tools broadening disruption scope across industries. Stock selection detracted from relative results, primarily within information technology and consumer discretionary sectors. Software and consumer internet businesses were particularly weak as AI developments intensified concerns about long-term durability. The fund deliberately shifted toward AI infrastructure over application-layer risk, reducing exposure to horizontal software while initiating positions in Samsung Electronics and SK hynix for memory essential to AI models. Top contributors included Taiwan Semiconductor, ASML Holding, and Cloudflare, while detractors included AppLovin, Microsoft, and Shopify. Management believes memory capacity may become an important constraint on AI development as systems grow more complex. With valuations compressed across secular growth businesses, the fund sees an attractive setup for the next five years as its growth-adjusted valuation premium reaches near-inception lows.
Technology Innovators leverages deep domain knowledge to seek leading innovative businesses globally that are key facilitators or beneficiaries of powerful secular shifts enabled by technologies, with recent focus shifting toward AI infrastructure over application-layer risk as agentic AI emerges as a transformative force.
The fund expects certain competitive moats to become increasingly important in an AI-first world including network effects, control of critical infrastructure, high switching costs, and proprietary data ownership. With valuations compressed across many secular growth businesses, Technology Innovators' growth-adjusted valuation premium relative to the index is near its lowest level since inception, creating an attractive setup for the next five years.
| Date | Letter | Tickers | Keywords | Pitches | Quick Takes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25 2026 | 2026 Q1 | 000660 KS, 005930 KS, APP, ASML, DASH, META, MSFT, NET, NFLX, NU, NVDA, SHOP.TO, STX, TSM | AI, Cloud, growth, infrastructure, innovation, semiconductors, software, technology | - | Technology Innovators declined 15% in Q1 2026 as AI disruption fears pressured growth stocks. The fund shifted toward AI infrastructure, adding memory providers Samsung and SK hynix while reducing software exposure. Despite near-term headwinds from agentic AI emergence, management sees compressed valuations creating attractive five-year setup as growth-adjusted premium reaches historic lows. |
| Jan 22 2026 | 2025 Q4 | AMZN, APP, ASML, AVGO, AXON, CPNG, CVNA, DASH, DDOG, DUOL, GOOGL, IOT, MELI, META, MSFT, NFLX, NOW, NU, NVDA, PANW, PLTR, RBLX, SE, SHOP.TO, SPOT, SQ, TEAM, TSM, V | AI, defense, global, growth, innovation, Robotics, semiconductors, technology |
TSM CVNA KVYO SHOP NU NFLX MSFT GOOGL AVGO PLTR |
Technology Innovators delivered 14.7% returns in 2025 but lagged benchmarks due to multiple compression despite strong earnings growth. The strategy maintained disciplined AI exposure while navigating market volatility, evolving positions in semiconductors and internet platforms. Five key themes - defense, robotics, energy transition, cybersecurity, and space - position the concentrated portfolio for long-term value creation despite near-term market dislocations. |
| Oct 20 2025 | 2025 Q3 | AMZN, APP, CPNG, CVNA, DASH, DUOL, IOT, MELI, META, MSFT, NFLX, NU, NVDA, RBLX, SE, SHOP.TO, SPOT, SQ, TSM, V | AI, global, growth, innovation, semiconductors, software, technology |
NVDA TSM APP RBLX DUOL MNDY NVDA TSM APP RBLX DUOL MNDY SNOW |
Technology Innovators underperformed in Q3 2025 as AI infrastructure leaders like NVIDIA and Taiwan Semiconductor drove gains while software holdings faced disruption concerns. The firm maintains conviction in AI's transformative potential while taking contrarian positions in quality software businesses. Portfolio balances concentrated AI exposure with diversification, positioning for full-cycle performance as the technology paradigm shift evolves. |
| Jul 21 2025 | 2025 Q2 | AMZN, APP, ASML, AXON, CPNG, CRWD, CVNA, DASH, DDOG, IOT, KVYO, MELI, META, MNDY, MSFT, NFLX, NOW, NU, NVDA, OKTA, PANW, RBLX, SE, SHOP, SPOT, SQ, TEAM, TSM, V | AI, Cloud, growth, innovation, semiconductors, software, technology |
NVDA NFLX TEAM OKTA V PANW SPOT AAPL GLBE |
Technology Innovators delivered 26.0% quarterly returns, outperforming benchmarks through strong security selection in AI-beneficiary businesses. The team actively repositioned during tariff volatility, adding semiconductor and cloud infrastructure exposure while exiting Apple and Alphabet. Portfolio remains concentrated in leading innovative businesses positioned to benefit from AI transformation and secular technology shifts. |
| Mar 31 2025 | 2025 Q1 | AAPL, AMZN, CPNG, CVNA, DASH, GOOGL, IOT, MELI, META, MSFT, NFLX, NOW, NU, NVDA, RBLX, SE, SHOP.TO, SQ, TEAM, TSM, V | AI, global, growth, semiconductors, software, technology | - | Technology Innovators declined 10.4% in Q1 amid AI stock selloff and market rotation. Despite DeepSeek concerns, managers maintain AI conviction citing strong hyperscaler capex guidance and emerging real-world applications. Portfolio better positioned than 2021 with improved diversification and profitability. Trade policy uncertainty increases recession risks, but focus remains on resilient technology leaders with sustainable competitive advantages. |
| Dec 31 2024 | 2024 Q4 | AAPL, AMZN, CPNG, DASH, GOOGL, IOT, MELI, META, MSFT, NFLX, NOW, NU, NVDA, RBLX, SE, SHOP.TO, SQ, TEAM, TSM, V | AI, Cloud, global, growth, innovation, semiconductors, technology | - | Sands Capital Technology Innovators posted strong 2024 returns of 37.7% despite three challenging years. The concentrated technology portfolio benefits from AI transformation, global e-commerce growth, and semiconductor leadership. While facing headwinds from benchmark concentration and high valuations, the manager maintains conviction that earnings growth will drive long-term outperformance as business fundamentals eventually align with stock prices. |
| QUARTER | THEMES | TAGS |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 Q1 |
AIThe first quarter marked a meaningful inflection in AI evolution with the emergence of agentic AI tools broadening disruption scope across industries. The fund shifted toward AI infrastructure over application-layer risk, reducing exposure to horizontal software while increasing positions in memory providers essential for training complex AI models. Memory capacity and efficiency may become important constraints on the next stage of AI development. |
Agentic Infrastructure Memory Disruption Applications |
SemiconductorsStrong positioning in semiconductor leaders with TSMC reinforcing its position as primary AI accelerator beneficiary and ASML seeing record bookings driven by AI demand. The fund initiated positions in Samsung Electronics and SK hynix, both providing memory essential to AI models. Industry may be entering period of structural memory tightness as AI systems grow more complex. |
Memory Foundries Equipment AI HBM | |
CloudMicrosoft's Azure growth met rather than exceeded expectations due to capacity constraints from prioritizing internal AI workloads including Copilot. Cloudflare benefited from positioning at key control point for machine-to-machine internet traffic as agentic AI proliferates. Cloud infrastructure remains critical for AI deployment and scaling. |
Azure Infrastructure Capacity Growth AI | |
E-commerceConsumer internet businesses were particularly weak as AI developments intensified concerns about long-term durability. Shopify declined amid software weakness but management believes it's better positioned than horizontal vendors as a vertical application tailored to ecommerce. DoorDash's dense logistics network and AI-driven efficiency improvements help insulate from disruption risk. |
Disruption Platforms Logistics Vertical Software | |
GamingAppLovin declined alongside broad-based weakness in gaming stocks, amplified by Google's generative gaming platform Project Genie release. Management sees generative gaming as potential accelerator that could expand content supply and benefit distribution platforms, though competition from Meta represents longer-term risk. |
Mobile Advertising Generative Content Competition | |
| 2025 Q4 |
AIEdgewood owns four AI infrastructure companies (NVIDIA, Broadcom, ASML, Synopsys) representing significant portfolio weight. The firm views AI as creating new product opportunities and efficiencies, with Draft One described as an AI killer app for police departments. AI Era Plan is the fastest booked Axon product to date. |
Infrastructure Software Data Centers Semiconductors Applications |
GrowthPortfolio companies delivered 27% average EPS growth in 2025 versus 7% stock performance, creating stored alpha. The firm maintains conviction in diversified portfolio fundamentals with strong earnings growth expected to continue in 2026. Portfolio is positioned across three growth buckets from 10-15% to 21%+ estimated long-term EPS growth. |
Earnings Fundamentals Valuation Alpha | |
SemiconductorsASML, NVIDIA, Broadcom, and Synopsys represent major portfolio positions tied to AI infrastructure buildout. NVIDIA delivered 75% EPS growth, while Broadcom showed 37% growth. The firm sees semiconductor cycle as supportive with AI driving structural demand. |
AI Infrastructure Memory Equipment Foundries | |
SoftwareSoftware holdings include Netflix, Shopify, ServiceNow, and Intuit showing strong growth profiles. Axon's software revenue percentage has grown from 12% to 44% of total, with AI Era Plan driving higher attach rates. Software generally commands higher margins and recurring revenue characteristics. |
SaaS Recurring Revenue Margins Enterprise | |
| 2025 Q3 |
AIAI represents a paradigm shift bringing disruption, with the market overstating risks for software while creating meaningful opportunities for incumbents to use AI as a business accelerant. The AI investment cycle continues to gather momentum with demand for AI infrastructure and services exceeding supply. |
Infrastructure Software Disruption Monetization Productivity |
SemiconductorsStrong AI-related demand continues with companies like NVIDIA and Taiwan Semiconductor benefiting from the global AI infrastructure buildout. NVIDIA's datacenter segment accelerated growth while TSMC expanded CoWoS capacity to meet demand. |
Datacenter CoWoS Foundries AI Infrastructure Capacity | |
SoftwareBroad-based weakness across software holdings reflected overhang of AI-related risks including pressure on seat-based pricing models and fears that AI could lower barriers to entry. Many software companies remain in deceleration phase from 2020-2021 peak growth. |
SaaS Pricing Models Barriers to Entry Deceleration Valuations | |
GamingRoblox benefited from viral garden simulation game Grow a Garden reaching over 20 million concurrent users, reflecting a structural shift toward new experiences gaining unprecedented traction rather than reliance on mainstay franchises. |
User-Generated Content Platform Viral Growth Engagement Distribution | |
E-commerceHoldings in consumer internet businesses helped offset underperformance, benefiting from idiosyncratic growth drivers in ecommerce, advertising, and AI-enabled personalization and content recommendation contributing to stronger results. |
Personalization Advertising Consumer Internet Growth Drivers Recommendation | |
| 2025 Q2 |
AIArtificial intelligence is extending both magnitude and duration of growth for businesses through personalized experiences, improved ad targeting, and margin upside via productivity gains in content moderation and software development. Early applications show AI can deepen user engagement and lower costs across multiple business functions. |
Machine Learning Generative AI Inference Training Productivity |
SemiconductorsStrong demand for AI-related semiconductors continues with TSMC planning to double CoWoS packaging capacity. Long-term AI infrastructure buildout supports sustained momentum in the semiconductor value chain, with TSMC targeting mid-40 percent compound annual growth rate for AI-related revenue through 2029. |
AI Chips Foundries Packaging GPU Infrastructure | |
CloudMicrosoft delivered better-than-expected results with Azure growth reacceleration as the key highlight. Demand for AI-related cloud services remains strong, with sequential improvement in non-AI-related Azure revenue also supporting growth momentum. |
Azure Infrastructure Enterprise Services Hyperscale | |
E-commerceConsumer internet platforms showed especially strong returns spanning multiple sectors including gaming, social media, streaming, and food delivery. These asset-light business models are generally insulated from tariff-related margin pressures and benefit from low marginal costs that enhance profitability as platforms scale. |
Platforms Marketplaces Digital Commerce Cross-border Scaling | |
StreamingNetflix reported strong subscriber growth and retention with continued margin expansion and increased capital returns including a $3.5 billion share repurchase. Advertising momentum continued with reports of a $9 billion internal ad revenue target by 2030, supported by the growing ad-supported tier. |
Video Subscribers Advertising Content Monetization | |
CybersecurityPalo Alto Networks leverages its leading firewall position to build strong positions in emerging segments like SASE, SIEM, and cloud security. Next-Generation Security revenue exceeds $5B annual run-rate with significant growth runway, as AI usage expands attack surfaces requiring more advanced security solutions. |
Firewalls SASE SIEM Cloud Security Enterprise | |
| 2025 Q1 |
AIAI remains a foundational driver of long-term growth despite market volatility. Hyperscalers' capital expenditure guidance suggests the AI investment cycle remains strong. Innovations like DeepSeek are likely to expand demand by enabling more domain-specific model development. Evidence shows scaling laws remain intact and better performance is leading to real-world applications across fraud detection, content creation, and workflow automation. |
GPUs Data Centers Cloud Semiconductors Enterprise Software |
E-commercePortfolio includes leading e-commerce platforms across multiple regions including MercadoLibre in Latin America, Sea's Shopee in Southeast Asia, and Coupang in Korea. These platforms are demonstrating strong growth with improving margins and expanding into adjacent services like fintech. The shift to online commerce continues globally with significant market share opportunities remaining. |
Marketplaces Fintech Payments Logistics | |
CloudCloud infrastructure and software-as-a-service businesses remain core holdings with companies like ServiceNow leading enterprise workflow automation. The portfolio emphasizes mission-critical, multiproduct platforms with fast time-to-value that are well positioned for the next wave of digital transformation. AI integration is enhancing these platforms' capabilities and driving adoption. |
SaaS Enterprise Software Workflow Automation IT Services | |
SemiconductorsSemiconductor holdings include NVIDIA and Taiwan Semiconductor as key beneficiaries of AI chip demand. Despite near-term volatility, TSMC expects AI accelerator revenue to double in 2025 and grow at mid-40 percent annually over five years. The rise of accessible AI models is expected to drive increased need for advanced semiconductor manufacturing. |
Foundries GPUs Semi Equipment Memory | |
| 2024 Q4 |
AIAI has rapidly evolved from a conceptual novelty to a transformative tool since ChatGPT's launch in late 2022. Portfolio companies like NVIDIA remain architectural leaders in AI infrastructure, while others like AppLovin, ServiceNow, and Axon Enterprise are finding specific use cases to create value for customers through AI-enabled products and services. |
Infrastructure Automation Productivity Platforms Applications |
E-commerceThe fund owns businesses leveraging the expanding digital economy globally. Companies like Amazon, MercadoLibre, and Coupang are capturing growth in online retail, while others like Global-E Online facilitate cross-border e-commerce solutions. |
Digital Marketplaces Cross-border Retail Platforms | |
Energy TransitionThe portfolio includes exposure to clean transportation and renewable energy solutions through companies like Chinese electric vehicle manufacturer BYD and lithium battery maker Contemporary Amperex Technology. These businesses are pioneering sustainable energy solutions in China and increasingly around the world. |
Electric Vehicles Battery Renewable Clean Sustainability | |
CloudCloud infrastructure and software-as-a-service businesses remain core holdings. ServiceNow continues to show strong momentum in its AI-enabled products, while other cloud-native companies benefit from the ongoing digital transformation and automation trends. |
SaaS Infrastructure Digital Transformation Automation Platforms | |
SemiconductorsThe fund maintains significant exposure to semiconductor leaders, particularly NVIDIA and Taiwan Semiconductor. TSMC benefits from strong AI chip demand and improved competitive positioning in leading-edge chip fabrication, while demand continues to outstrip supply for compute infrastructure. |
AI Chips Foundries Leading-edge Fabrication Computing |
| Date | Pitch Type | Author | Ticker | Company | Industry | Sub Industry | Bull / Bear | Exchange | Keywords | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2026 | Fund Letters | Emerson Bluhm | AVGO | Broadcom Inc. | Semiconductors | Semiconductor Infrastructure | Bull | NASDAQ | Ai Scaling, custom silicon, data centers, Ethernet, Networking | Login |
| Jan 22, 2026 | Fund Letters | Emerson Bluhm | PLTR | Palantir Technologies Inc. | Software | Data Analytics Software | Bull | New York Stock Exchange | Data-integration, Government Tech, Mission-Critical, Operational Ai, workflow automation | Login |
| Jan 22, 2026 | Fund Letters | Emerson Bluhm | TSM | Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company | Semiconductors | Semiconductor Foundries | Bull | New York Stock Exchange | advanced nodes, AI demand, Foundry, Pricing power, scale | Login |
| Jan 22, 2026 | Fund Letters | Emerson Bluhm | CVNA | Carvana Co. | Internet Retail | E-commerce Retail | Bull | New York Stock Exchange | ecommerce, Lending Margins, Logistics, scale, Unit growth | Login |
| Jan 22, 2026 | Fund Letters | Emerson Bluhm | KVYO | Klaviyo Inc. | Software | Marketing Software | Bull | New York Stock Exchange | Agentic Commerce, International Growth, Marketing automation, Platform Shift, revenue acceleration | Login |
| Jan 22, 2026 | Fund Letters | Emerson Bluhm | SHOP | Shopify Inc. | IT Services | E-commerce Platforms | Bull | New York Stock Exchange | AI tools, Gmv Growth, Merchant Services, Payments, Platform Scale | Login |
| Jan 22, 2026 | Fund Letters | Emerson Bluhm | NU | Nu Holdings Ltd. | Banks | Digital Banks | Bull | New York Stock Exchange | credit quality, digital banking, Financial Inclusion, Latin America, Unit economics | Login |
| Jan 22, 2026 | Fund Letters | Emerson Bluhm | NFLX | Netflix Inc. | Entertainment | Streaming Services | Bull | NASDAQ | consolidation, Content Ownership, Engagement, IP strategy, Pricing power | Login |
| Jan 22, 2026 | Fund Letters | Emerson Bluhm | MSFT | Microsoft Corp. | Software | System Software | Bull | NASDAQ | AI infrastructure, capacity expansion, Cloud Scale, Enterprise software, hyperscale | Login |
| Jan 22, 2026 | Fund Letters | Emerson Bluhm | GOOGL | Alphabet Inc. | Interactive Media & Services | Digital Advertising | Bull | NASDAQ | Ai Assistants, Digital ads, Optionality, Platform Ecosystem, Search Intent | Login |
| Oct 20, 2025 | Fund Letters | Emerson Bluhm | NVDA | NVIDIA Corporation | Information Technology | Semiconductors | Bull | NASDAQ | AI, datacenter, GPUs, hyperscalers, Pricing power, semiconductors | Login |
| Oct 20, 2025 | Fund Letters | Emerson Bluhm | TSM | TSMC | Information Technology | Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment | Bull | NYSE | AI, CapEx, Foundry, Margins, Packaging, semiconductors | Login |
| Oct 20, 2025 | Fund Letters | Emerson Bluhm | TSM | TSMC | Information Technology | Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment | Bull | NYSE | AI, CapEx, Foundry, Margins, Packaging, semiconductors | Login |
| Oct 20, 2025 | Fund Letters | Emerson Bluhm | APP | AppLovin Corp. | Communication Services | Digital Advertising | Bull | NASDAQ | adtech, AI, ecommerce, Margins, Scalability, Self-serve | Login |
| Oct 20, 2025 | Fund Letters | Emerson Bluhm | APP | AppLovin Corp. | Communication Services | Digital Advertising | Bull | NASDAQ | adtech, AI, ecommerce, Margins, Scalability, Self-serve | Login |
| Oct 20, 2025 | Fund Letters | Emerson Bluhm | RBLX | Roblox Corp. | Communication Services | Interactive Media & Services | Bull | NYSE | AI, Engagement, Gaming, monetization, User-generated content | Login |
| Oct 20, 2025 | Fund Letters | Emerson Bluhm | RBLX | Roblox Corp. | Communication Services | Interactive Media & Services | Bull | NYSE | AI, Engagement, Gaming, monetization, User-generated content | Login |
| Oct 20, 2025 | Fund Letters | Emerson Bluhm | DUOL | Duolingo Inc. | Information Technology | Education Technology | Bull | NASDAQ | AI, Edtech, gamification, monetization, Subscription | Login |
| Oct 20, 2025 | Fund Letters | Emerson Bluhm | DUOL | Duolingo Inc. | Information Technology | Education Technology | Bull | NASDAQ | AI, Edtech, gamification, monetization, Subscription | Login |
| Oct 20, 2025 | Fund Letters | Emerson Bluhm | MNDY | monday.com Ltd. | Information Technology | Application Software | Bull | NASDAQ | AI, Margins, SaaS, User growth, Work management | Login |
| Oct 20, 2025 | Fund Letters | Emerson Bluhm | MNDY | monday.com Ltd. | Information Technology | Application Software | Bull | NASDAQ | AI, Margins, SaaS, User growth, Work management | Login |
| Oct 20, 2025 | Fund Letters | Emerson Bluhm | NVDA | NVIDIA Corporation | Information Technology | Semiconductors | Bull | NASDAQ | AI, datacenter, GPUs, hyperscalers, Pricing power, semiconductors | Login |
| Oct 20, 2025 | Fund Letters | Emerson Bluhm | SNOW | Snowflake Inc. | Information Technology | Data Warehousing | Bear | NYSE | AI, cloud, Consumption, Data, growth, Re-rating | Login |
| Jul 21, 2025 | Fund Letters | Emerson Bluhm | AAPL | Apple Inc. | Information Technology | Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals | Bear | NASDAQ | AI, China, Hardware, services, Smartphones | Login |
| Jul 21, 2025 | Fund Letters | Emerson Bluhm | NVDA | NVIDIA Corporation | Information Technology | Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment | Bull | NASDAQ | AI, cloud, datacenters, GPUs, semiconductors | Login |
| Jul 21, 2025 | Fund Letters | Emerson Bluhm | GLBE | Globale-e Online Ltd. | Information Technology | IT Services | Bear | NASDAQ | Crossborder, cybersecurity, ecommerce, Execution, tariffs | Login |
| Jul 21, 2025 | Fund Letters | Emerson Bluhm | NFLX | Netflix, Inc. | Communication Services | Entertainment | Bull | NASDAQ | advertising, Content, Streaming, Subscriptions, Video | Login |
| Jul 21, 2025 | Fund Letters | Emerson Bluhm | TEAM | Atlassian Corporation | Information Technology | Application Software | Bull | NASDAQ | cloud, Collaboration, enterprise, productivity, Software | Login |
| Jul 21, 2025 | Fund Letters | Emerson Bluhm | OKTA | Okta, Inc. | Information Technology | Systems Software | Bull | NASDAQ | cybersecurity, enterprise, Identity, SaaS, Zero_Trust | Login |
| Jul 21, 2025 | Fund Letters | Emerson Bluhm | V | Visa Inc. | Financials | Data Processing & Outsourced Services | Bull | New York Stock Exchange | Cards, Cashless, Fintech, Networks, Payments | Login |
| Jul 21, 2025 | Fund Letters | Emerson Bluhm | PANW | Palo Alto Networks, Inc. | Information Technology | Systems Software | Bull | NASDAQ | AI, Cloud_Security, cybersecurity, Firewalls, Platforms | Login |
| Jul 21, 2025 | Fund Letters | Emerson Bluhm | SPOT | Spotify Technology S.A. | Communication Services | Entertainment | Bull | New York Stock Exchange | Audio, Margins, Pricing_Power, Streaming, Subscriptions | Login |
| TICKER | COMMENTARY |
|---|---|
| NVDA | NVIDIA shares declined amid a broader risk-off environment and increasing skepticism around the sustainability of its earnings. Fourth-quarter fiscal 2026 results were exceptionally strong, with earnings per share growing 83 percent year over year and guidance calling for revenue growth to accelerate to 78 percent in the first quarter, well above expectations. Despite this strength, the share price moved lower, culminating a six-month period of valuation multiple compression. In our view, this compression reflects rising concerns that NVIDIA may be nearing a cyclical peak in earnings. Investors appear focused on the possibility that data center capital expenditures are beginning to strain the cash flows of cloud hyperscalers, leaving them increasingly dependent on third-party financing to sustain further investment. We believe these concerns underestimate NVIDIA's durable growth, as agentic AI drives accelerating AI lab revenues and a renewed surge in compute demand, reinforcing its role as a critical infrastructure provider. |
| TSM | TSMC's latest results highlighted accelerating AI demand and reinforced the company's position as a primary beneficiary of that trend. The update included two new data points that strengthened our outlook for AI accelerator demand. First, TSMC Chairman C.C. Wei said he personally spoke with the company's largest hyperscaler AI customers and concluded that their requests for additional capacity were supported by end demand. Given TSMC's historically conservative posture, we view this as a meaningful signal. Second, the company reinforced that confidence with a materially higher capital expenditure plan of $54 billion for 2026, well above consensus estimates of $47.8 billion, to support expected AI-driven demand. TSMC also reported results and issued guidance that exceeded our expectations and those of consensus. Management now expects AI-related revenue to grow at a 55 percent annualized rate through 2029, up from 45 percent previously, driven by both higher volumes and improved pricing. |
| ASML | ASML Holding is the world's leading provider of semiconductor lithography equipment by market share. Shares rose alongside AI infrastructure businesses, reflecting strong demand for AI compute and the critical role ASML's tools play in enabling leading-edge chip fabrication, including advanced memory and logic production. Strong bookings underscored this demand. The company reported a record €13.2 billion in fourth-quarter 2025 bookings, well ahead of expectations, including €7.4 billion from extreme ultraviolet (EUV) systems tied to AI-driven demand. These results reinforce ASML's position as a key bottleneck in advanced chip production. Forward guidance also pointed to continued momentum, with sales outlooks for both the first quarter of 2026 and full-year 2026 exceeding expectations. |
| NET | Cloudflare is a global cloud platform that improves the security, performance, and reliability of websites and applications. Shares rose during the quarter as investors increasingly viewed the company as a beneficiary of agentic AI, given its position at a key control point for routing and securing machine-to-machine internet traffic. While we do see Cloudflare as a long-term beneficiary of AI broadly and the proliferation of agents specifically, we are more encouraged by improving enterprise sales execution reflected in recent results. Fourth-quarter 2025 revenue growth accelerated to 34 percent year over year, up from 31 percent and 28 percent in the prior two quarters. New annual contract value bookings increased 50 percent, and sales capacity expanded at the fastest pace since 2022, supporting continued momentum. |
| NFLX | Netflix shares rose after the company walked away from a proposed acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery. While we viewed the deal positively, the uncertainty had weighed on sentiment, and Netflix will receive a $2.8 billion break fee. We believe the company is now better positioned to exceed guidance and resume share repurchases. The stock also trades below 30 times forward earnings, a level rarely seen over the past 15 years. Fourth-quarter 2025 results included several positives. Management tacitly endorsed a leaked long-term forecast of reaching a $1 trillion valuation by 2030. Advertising revenue exceeded expectations, and net subscriber additions surpassed 23 million in 2025. |
| STX | Seagate Technology is a global leader in mass-capacity data storage. Shares advanced during the quarter alongside a broader rally in semiconductor memory businesses, reflecting improved sentiment, though the position modestly detracted following Technology Innovators' purchase in March due to positioning, geopolitical developments, and concerns about potential efficiency-driven reductions in memory demand following the release of Google's TurboQuant algorithm. In our view, efficiency gains, such as those demonstrated by Google, should support broader AI adoption and increase overall memory demand. Our long-term expectations remain unchanged, as we expect AI by 2028 to consume more bits than all DRAM produced today, driven by the growth of long-context agentic workloads. |
| 005930.KS | Samsung Electronics is one of the world's largest diversified technology businesses. We believe Samsung is approaching an inflection point in its earnings trajectory. As one of the world's leading producers of memory chips, the company is positioned to become a critical supplier of high-bandwidth memory (HBM) for artificial intelligence applications. We expect customer announcements from notable customers such as Tesla and Apple to eventually help Samsung's foundry business reach breakeven after years of losses. In mobile, Samsung's yearslong decline in global market share may slow and potentially reverse. |
| 000660.KS | SK hynix is the world's largest dedicated producer of memory chips. The business benefits from the increasing demand for computational power and data storage, driven by the rise of artificial intelligence (AI) and high-performance computing. The memory chip industry has consolidated into an oligopoly led by three companies. While SK hynix isn't the overall market-share leader, it is the only company with an exclusive focus on memory chips, and we believe it stands to benefit most from the growth of HBM. HBM is essential for AI servers and graphical processing units (GPUs). SK hynix is the world's leading HBM designer in terms of market share, and our research indicates that the business' chips outperform competitors in terms of yield, data speed, and heat dissipation. |
| APP | AppLovin is one of the leading providers of advertising solutions for mobile game developers. Shares declined alongside broad-based weakness in gaming and ecommerce stocks, amplified by the release of Google's generative gaming platform, Project Genie, and concerns that Meta Platforms may emerge as a more aggressive competitor. Fourth-quarter results remained strong, with revenue growing 66 percent year over year and advertising EBITDA margins reaching 84 percent. These results highlight continued momentum in AppLovin's core advertising business. Our view on the risks is mixed. We see generative gaming as a potential accelerator that could expand content supply and benefit AppLovin's distribution platform, while acknowledging that competition from Meta Platforms represents a credible longer-term risk. |
| MSFT | Microsoft reported revenue and operating income above consensus expectations, but shares declined as Azure growth met, rather than exceeded, investor expectations. Azure grew 38 percent year over year on a constant currency basis, consistent with recent quarters, and guidance did not signal near-term reacceleration. Capacity constraints, rather than demand, continue to limit Azure growth. Microsoft is prioritizing compute for internal AI workloads, including Copilot, which reduces near-term availability for external customers. This reflects strong underlying AI demand and reinforces Microsoft's positioning, even as it constrains reported growth. We see potential for acceleration as capacity expands. Additionally, Microsoft's leadership in agentic AI development represents incremental upside that we believe is not yet reflected in expectations. |
| SHOP.TO | Shopify is an ecommerce software platform that enables merchants to build, manage, and scale their businesses. Shares declined alongside software stocks amid investor concerns about AI-related disruption. While AI is reshaping the software landscape, we believe Shopify is better positioned than most horizontal vendors. As a vertical application tailored to ecommerce, it is less likely to be displaced by agentic workflows. Instead, generative tools such as ChatGPT may act as incremental demand channels. Shopify has already enabled an integration with ChatGPT and created a universal protocol for AI shopping alongside Google, which applies third-party payment fees to transactions originating there, consistent with its platform model. |
| DASH | DoorDash is the leading food-delivery platform in the United States, based on market share. Shares of the business traded lower alongside broad-based weakness in consumer internet platforms amid fears that AI model providers will ultimately disintermediate their platforms; however, we believe DoorDash's dense logistics network, large and engaged user base, and increasing use of AI to improve discovery, advertising, and delivery efficiency help insulate the business from disruption risk. The company operates a three-sided marketplace, connecting a scaled network of monthly active consumers, merchant partners, and delivery people globally, which drives faster delivery times and higher order reliability. |
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