Pitch Summary:
Tesla remains one of our highest-conviction short positions. The company faces intensifying competition from established automakers and a weakening demand backdrop in key markets such as China. Margins have deteriorated due to aggressive price cuts, and we view the company’s AI and autonomy narrative as overhyped relative to commercial viability. We continue to see significant downside risk given stretched valuation and operational...
Pitch Summary:
NVIDIA was one of the fund’s largest short positions during the month. The fund believes the company’s current valuation reflects an unsustainable AI-driven bubble. While fundamentals remain strong, the pace of capex expansion across hyperscalers appears excessive relative to near-term monetization opportunities. We believe market expectations for growth are unrealistic and current multiples provide a poor risk/reward setup.
BSD A...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
Leading defense technology provider Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. contributed to performance following a strong earnings report and continued momentum across its business segments. Years of investment are beginning to pay off, with the company winning new contracts across multiple divisions. The current defense spending cycle appears to be in a generational upswing amid heightened global conflicts, and Kratos’ innovativ...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
Wingstop Inc. is a fast-casual restaurant chain known for its cooked-to-order chicken wings and wide flavor variety, operating a highly franchised model across the U.S. and abroad. Shares fell during the quarter amid softening sales momentum. While the company reported better-than-expected quarterly results over the summer, subsequent market data indicated weakening sales trends as the quarter progressed. We attribute this to a bro...
Pitch Summary:
Inspire Medical Systems, Inc. is a medical device company offering a treatment option called hypoglossal nerve stimulation for patients with moderate-to-severe obstructive sleep apnea. Shares fell during the quarter as management lowered 2025 financial guidance, citing several factors behind the slower-than-expected rollout of Inspire 5, the company’s next-generation device. These included delays onboarding centers to a new patient...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
In the third quarter we purchased shares of Birkenstock Holding plc. Birkenstock is a global footwear brand with roots dating back to 1774. The brand is most known for its iconic “Arizona” and “Boston” sandals, and the brand has been embedded in U.S. culture since the 1960s and 1970s. Although the Birkenstock brand has been around for over 250 years, in 2009 the Birkenstock family brought in its first outside management team led by...
Pitch Summary:
Braskem’s bonds declined sharply after the company reportedly hired restructuring advisors. Given the extent of negative news already priced in, we have chosen to maintain our current exposure after extensive internal and external discussions.
BSD Analysis:
Braskem’s bonds sold off sharply following reports that the company hired restructuring advisors, accelerating already significant spread widening. Much of the pessimism appear...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
During the quarter we increased our Microsoft holdings by over 30%, started a modest new position in Mercado Libre, and bought more Gartner shares as the stock fell swiftly out of favor. Mercado Libre is a powerhouse Latin American ecommerce retailer and financial services provider. The company’s highly capable management team has built a suite of deep competitive moats over the last 25 years. We purchased the Fund’s initial stake ...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
We added to DECK following recent weakness in the shares. While there have been concerns about the HOKA brand, recent results point to the strength and sustainability of both the UGG and HOKA brands. We believe DECK can continue to generate strong revenue growth with higher margins. The balance sheet is strong with $1.7B in net cash (10% of the company’s market cap). With shares now at a much more attractive valuation, we elected t...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
ACIW’s core payments software enables banks, processors, networks, fintechs, and retailers to handle payments regardless of the channel. ACIW doesn’t move or process money, they sell the software to facilitate money movement. ACIW’s software is mission critical to financial institutions and competition is limited. Margins are attractive and capital spending needs are light. At 11x EV/EBITDA, we believe the stock is attractive and t...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
JKHY was an underperformer this quarter after reporting a more conservative outlook and temporary margin pressures due to new client onboarding. Overall, results were strong with JKHY winning new business by leveraging its cloud platform and best-in-class technology. We remain attracted to the asset light business model, sticky contracts with long duration, and a clean balance sheet.
BSD Analysis:
Jack Henry & Associates (JKHY) sl...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
CWST was an underperformer after reporting continued weakness in construction and demolition volumes, plus temporarily slower synergies from the recent larger acquisition. CWST continues to get pricing above inflation. We continue to be attracted to the scarce assets of the landfills, pricing power, and the consolidated nature of the industry at a local level.
BSD Analysis:
Casella Waste Systems slipped this quarter as softer cons...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
WAT underperformed on the announcement that it will acquire Becton Dickinson’s Biosciences and Diagnostics divisions. While we take a skeptical view toward transformational M&A, we do see the strategic logic of the deal, and we have confidence in management’s ability to execute on commercial improvements and cost synergies. We continue to have a favorable view of WAT’s core business and the management team.
BSD Analysis:
Waters Co...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
NEU was a strong performer in the quarter, mainly due to three factors. First, low oil prices cut input costs faster than revenue, driving improved profitability. Second, a timely defense acquisition allowed NEU to ramp up production amid global conflicts. Finally, the market is positively viewing the company's use of cash flow to repay debt.
BSD Analysis:
NewMarket Corporation delivered an unusually strong quarter as several tail...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
SGI was a top performer as it continues to gain incremental share in the bedding market, despite the weakness in the endmarket. The integration of Mattress Firm is progressing ahead of schedule, causing an improvement in the outlook. We believe the business combination has the potential to unlock meaningful value. Our investment thesis is supported by robust free cash flow generation, strong brand equity, and solid management execu...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
AWI shares outperformed in the quarter due to beating expectations, driven by favorable positioning in key verticals and strong operating leverage. We continue to like AWI for its consistent execution, strong financials, leading market share and persistent moats through its exclusivity agreements and warranties.
BSD Analysis:
Armstrong World Industries delivered a solid beat, and the stock’s outperformance reflects how well the co...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
Equitable Holdings, Inc. (EQH) – EQH a leading U.S. financial services company helping clients achieve retirement and wealth goals through three core businesses: Equitable (retirement and protection strategies), AllianceBernstein (global asset management), and Equitable Advisors (financial and wealth planning). Together, these franchises manage over $1 trillion in client assets. EQH operates with an asset-light model that generates...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
Alphabet Inc. (GOOG) – GOOG was a top performer following strong core business results and the accelerated adoption of its AI offerings. Favorable news on outstanding legal cases also helped. Management is effectively executing cost-saving initiatives while diversifying revenue through Cloud and subscriptions. We remain attracted to its massive ecosystem scale, sound capital allocation, and clean balance sheet.
BSD Analysis:
Alpha...
Pitch Summary:
UnitedHealth Group (UNH) – UNH is the largest and most diversified health insurer in the U.S., anchored by two complementary platforms: UnitedHealthcare and Optum. This integrated model gives UNH unmatched scale and insight into healthcare costs, enabling both efficiency and improved outcomes. Its vast provider networks, local dominance, and data-driven capabilities form durable competitive advantages and high barriers to entry. Lo...
Pitch Summary:
TE Connectivity Ltd. (TEL) – TEL was a top performer as it is benefiting from AI spending plus delivering stronger margins despite a mixed demand environment in other end markets. Its diversified portfolio, high-value products, and market leadership, combined with disciplined capital allocation through dividends and buybacks, position it for sustained growth and margin expansion.
BSD Analysis:
TE Connectivity delivered a strong qu...