Bull
Pitch Summary:
During the quarter, we reinvested back in Tencent (and proxy Prosus) primarily because we're observing another pattern from our playbook that we cited in our last letter: the idea that advertising is a helpful 'switch' that can be 'turned on' to enhance margins when they're required. Tencent's WeChat is used daily by 1 billion people in China. Still, Tencent has historically under-monetised the advertising potential of its vast soc...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
Over the past nine months we have been able to build up a decent size position in ENDI Corp (ENDI) at around $4 per share, or two times earnings net of cash. It has since climbed to above $6.50 per share. ENDI Corp, formerly known as Enterprise Diversified and prior to that Sitestar, has been quite a ride for long-term shareholders. Eight years ago, the company was taken over by private investor Jeff Moore and Steven Kiel of Arquit...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
One position in the portfolio we have not discussed much in our earlier letters to investors is our 6% investment in OCI, which we started in April 2023. Despite important catalysts, the stock is currently trading at our entry price. On a total return basis, we are up 16.1% in the position due to regular and special dividends paid out last year. We expect to receive another significant special dividend this year, as outlined below....
Bull
Pitch Summary:
AGNC is an internally managed REIT focused on the agency RMBS sector. As the best of breed RMBS REIT, AGNC trades at a discount to tangible book value and offers a mid-teens dividend yield. With MBS spreads at a 3+ standard deviation from the mean, investors in AGNC will benefit from a normalization of mortgage credit spreads. While we wait for agency mortgage spreads to normalize, Appleseed Fund clips a ~1.3% dividend each month.
...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
Humana is one of several U.S. large managed care organizations and is primarily focused on government health insurance. Humana's share price has fallen over 40.0% from post-COVID highs due to the recent emergence of elevated medical loss ratios. In our view, Humana's stock has been severely punished and the stock was quite attractive at the time when Appleseed Fund took a position.
BSD Analysis:
Appleseed Fund initiated a position...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
For readers in the habit of using quantitative screens to identify investment ideas, NN will likely cause you to turn the other cheek. At first glance, this business does not look pretty. Under the hood, there is a lot to like. The fact patterns here along with management efforts are very similar to our investment in Bel Fuse. Like Bel Fuse, NNBR possesses strong technical expertise, a large manufacturing footprint, and long-dated ...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
Innovative Food Holdings is a specialty food distributor with a niche service offering and a history of strong organic growth. The company distributes over 7,000 perishable and specialty food and food related products, with expertise in selection, sourcing, and logistics. The business was founded and run for nearly twenty years by the former CEO who was both overpaid and had a history of chasing pet projects to the company's detrim...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
I recently had the opportunity to pitch a best idea at the BTIG Value Investing event in Omaha as part of the Berkshire Hathaway pilgrimage weekend. I pitched REVG, which is a manufacturer of primarily fire trucks and ambulances. We believe this is a very compelling industry due to current three-year backlogs for demand, significant price increases which have yet to fully flow through the P&L, and an oligopoly industry structure. M...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
Humble Group AB was the biggest detractor in the quarter, as it gave up some of its Q4 gains. We believe the thesis is on track and that this company remains one of the cheapest stocks in our portfolio. We see the potential for it to double over the next 12 months. Humble (full thesis here) has traded down in sympathy with the Swedish First North index as the institutional investor community increasingly abandons the venue in favor...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
Daktronics was another large contributor in the first quarter. We will refrain from rehashing the thesis, as we have fully covered this in previous letters. However, we believe the thesis is very much on track and that DAKT remains significantly undervalued. The stock still trades for <6x our estimate of EBITDA, implying a double-digit free cash flow yield. We believe there remains underappreciated growth and self-improvement le...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
Alta Fox has followed EML Payments for over five years. It started as a payments company focused on the gift and incentive card program management industry. Alta Fox was briefly invested in the company with the thesis that the business operated in a uniquely profitable payments niche and the company was cheap on normalized earnings. The company "diworsified" in 2020, at the worst possible time, by acquiring PFS, a European payments...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
Aubay is a family-owned French IT services company founded in 1997 and present in 7 European countries. The company generates just over half its turnover in France, with the remainder spread across other countries. Like LNA Santé, approximately 60% of Aubay is controlled by its founding families, ensuring alignment between management and shareholder interests. The company operates in various sectors, but has a strong exposure to th...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
This quarter, we also added the French companies LNA Santé and Aubay to our fund. The former is an entity founded in 1990 that manages nursing homes, rehabilitation and health centers, psychiatric clinics and home health care. LNA Santé manages 49 nursing homes in France (mostly) and Belgium, as well as 24 health clinics and 10 hospital care at home structures. It has also recently entered the Polish market with the acquisition of ...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
The first new stake to highlight in the quarter is Acerinox. This stainless steel company, present in our Horos Value Iberia fund, has been penalized along with the rest of the sector by the weakness in demand in its European business for several quarters, both due to the fall in real demand, as well as that derived from the accumulation of inventories by its customers to cover the bottlenecks that have persisted in recent times. H...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
Arrow Electronics ("ARW") is the world's largest authorized electronics components distributor (15% market share including larger shares in key markets) serving both electronics OEM customers and component suppliers. Most large component manufacturers buy directly from component suppliers. ARW has over 220,000 customers with a 90% customer retention rate and over 3,700 suppliers. ARW also distributes IT products such as servers, so...
Pitch Summary:
Channel partners can track the company's business activity and consumption trends in real-time, offering an opportunity to front-run the financial announcement; the partner shares material nonpublic information and is unlikely to be controlled by the CEO or the management.
BSD Analysis:
Snowflake offers cloud-based data warehousing with consumption-based pricing. Bears argue growth is slowing as enterprise budgets tighten and hype...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
Amsterdam-based enterprise payments processor, Adyen, posted a quarterly update that was largely (at least in our opinion) business as usual. The company reported processed payment volume and net revenue growth of 46% and 21%, respectively. During the period, over 80% of the volume growth was derived from existing clients and volume churn was less than 1%. The pace of hiring has also slowed significantly to 26 net-new joiners in th...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
US-based software company, ServiceNow, provided another strong result, continuing its long and consistent track record of 20%-plus revenue growth combined with healthy profitability. Subscription revenues grew 25% year-on-year to $2.5 billion and free cash flow grew 47% year-on-year to $1.2 billion. The company's core operating metrics were also impressive with remaining performance obligations growing 26% year-on-year to $17.7 bil...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
Alphabet delivered a strong quarterly result that came in well ahead of analysts' expectations. Revenue grew 15.4% (16.0% constant currency) to $80.5 billion and operating income grew 46.0% to $25.5 billion. Revenue growth accelerated across Search, YouTube Ads, and Google Cloud, all whilst the company delivered its highest operating margin since 2021 – showing meaningful progress in the company's efforts to durably re-work their c...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
Hotel commerce platform, SiteMinder, reported a positive quarterly update with revenue and annualised recurring revenue (ARR) up 23.3% and 24.8%, respectively. The company is on the tipping point of profitability; reporting underlying free cash flow of almost breakeven and improving margins by more than 22 percentage points year-on-year. On the product side, management shared that the team is on-track, or ahead, of plans to deliver...