Bull
Pitch Summary:
Miller Industries is the world's largest manufacturer of towing and recovery equipment with four manufacturing facilities in the US (its core market) and two in Europe. The company is the dominant player in its space, with a large stable of brands and the largest distribution network in North America, through which it sells products across all 50 states. Miller has a long track record of steady growth and consistent returns with a ...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
Ducommun is a critical Tier 1 and Tier 2 supplier of advanced material aerostructures and electrical components to the defense and commercial markets. Via targeted acquisitions, the company is increasing its higher-margin engineered and aftermarket business. Simultaneously, management is working to improve organic margins by reorganizing its operational and physical footprint. We are particularly attracted to Ducommun's electronic ...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
Fresh egg producer Cal-Maine Foods has positioned itself well to capitalize on the growing trend toward cage-free and specialty eggs. In May, the US Supreme Court upheld Proposition 12, whereby California can dictate only cage-free eggs be sold in the state — an outcome which will likely open the door for other states to either institute or maintain similar mandates, and which should drive increased long-term demand for Cal-Maine F...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
Civitas Resources is an oil and gas producer focused primarily on the DJ Basin in Colorado. The company announced it would acquire assets in the Permian Basin in Q2, which prompted a near-term sell-off in the share price. However, with the acquisition now complete and oil prices rising against a backdrop of OPEC+ production cuts, earnings have recovered, and the share price rebounded accordingly in Q3.
BSD Analysis:
Diamond Hill m...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
Worley (Long +10%) shares rallied after reporting strong FY23 results and providing an upbeat qualitative outlook for FY24. Worley has multi-year revenue growth tailwinds from the recovery in conventional energy capex, growth in energy transition spend and the execution of major project wins secured over the last 12 months. Worley is in the early innings of the pivot to 'green' energy opportunities. We believe the market is startin...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
James Hardie (Long +17%) shares rose after announcing first quarter earnings well above market expectations and strong second quarter earnings guidance. Having built exposure on shareprice weakness early in the quarter, the portfolio benefitted from a 17% share price rise during the portion of the quarter that we held the stock. There continues to be uncertainty in terms of the impact that rising interest rates will have on housing...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
Seven Group (Long +26%) shares continued to rise after reporting strong FY23 results in August and providing a positive outlook for the FY24 period with high-single-digit EBIT growth expected. WesTrac and Coates performed strongly, with earnings well positioned to grow over the medium term as investment in mining, construction and infrastructure continues to increase. Seven also holds a 71.6% shareholding in Boral, one of the large...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
Cenovus (Long +23%) shares rallied as WTI oil prices rose to ~US$91/bbl over the month, the highest level since November 2022. The company also had tailwinds from higher refinery margins, particularly in North America which remains their key exposure. Cenovus continues to generate strong free cash flow at current oil price levels, with the long-life nature of its oil sands assets and its low cost of production providing a break-eve...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
Both the L1 Long Short Fund and the L1 Capital Catalyst Fund (see September 2022 Catalyst quarterly report) are invested in Santos (an ASX-listed oil and gas exploration and production company with a current market capitalisation of ~A$24b and an enterprise value of ~A$30b). This investment was based on its portfolio of quality long-life assets and attractive valuation in the context of an elevated oil price environment, supported ...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
CVS is a diversified health care conglomerate with leading positions across multiple aspects of health services. The company owns the #1 pharmacy benefit manager, #1 retail pharmacy, #1 specialty pharmacy, #3 commercial health insurer and #3 Medicare Advantage organization in the U.S. Managed care and pharmacy benefits management have proven to be good businesses over time, characterized by healthy underlying growth and excellent f...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
Cisco is the leading networking solutions company. Networking equipment becomes more important as businesses modernize their IT infrastructure, and Cisco is well positioned to capture this demand given its broad portfolio and highly effective go-to-market strategy. Cisco is transitioning away from selling mainly transactional hardware and toward selling more software and subscriptions. This shift is expected to accelerate revenue g...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
Phillips 66 is an integrated downstream energy company that operates refineries, pipelines, chemical manufacturing facilities and retail fuel stations. Like most U.S.-based oil refiners, Phillips 66 is currently enjoying abnormally high margins thanks to today's historically tight market for refined products. Given the market's concern that current refining margins are unsustainable, Phillips 66 trades for just 7x this year's EPS. ...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
Centene is one of the largest health insurers in the U.S. The company specializes in three major government-sponsored programs: Medicaid, Marketplace and Medicare Advantage. Each of these benefits from long-term secular tailwinds. In Medicaid, states are steadily outsourcing their programs to managed care companies, like Centene, as it helps states reduce costs and improve care quality. Indeed, Managed Medicaid penetration has incr...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
Corteva is a leading provider of seed and crop protection chemicals. We believe the seed and crop protection markets have sizeable barriers to entry due to the duration and magnitude of investment required to compete. Both industries require constant innovation: Farmers expect seed yield improvement each year while nature develops immunity to crop protection chemicals over time. As a result, advantages accrue to the largest players...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
Danaher is a global leader in life sciences tools and diagnostics. We are impressed by Danaher's excellent track record of creating shareholder value through smart capital allocation and world-class operational execution. The company's business mix has shifted dramatically in recent years following a series of transformative acquisitions and divestitures. We believe these portfolio improvements leave the company attractively positi...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
IQVIA is a leading provider of clinical trials and related health care technology formed through the merger of Quintiles and IMS Health in 2016. We believe that IQVIA's leading data and digital capabilities enable the company to gain share of addressable clinical trial-related spending as pharma and biotech companies outsource these services to contract research organizations (CROs). In addition, we think that IQVIA has growth oppo...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
SBUX is the premier roaster, marketer and retailer of specialty coffee in the world, operating in 83 markets. Through its more than 36,000 global stores (roughly 50% operated and 50% licensed) the company offers handcrafted coffee, tea and other beverages and a variety of food items. SBUX also sells a variety of packaged coffee and tea products and licenses its trademarks through other channels such as grocery and foodservice throu...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
PepsiCo is a leading global beverage and snack food company with a portfolio of brands, including Lay's, Doritos, Cheetos, Gatorade, Pepsi-Cola, Mountain Dew, Quaker and SodaStream. The company, through its operations, authorized bottlers, contract manufacturers and other third parties, makes, markets, distributes and sells a wide variety of beverages and snack foods, serving customers and consumers in more than 200 countries and t...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
MCD is the world's leading global foodservice retailer with over 40,000 locations in over 100 countries. Approximately 95% of McDonald's restaurants worldwide are owned and operated by independent local business owners under franchise licenses. This franchise model gives MCD enough control to drive sustainably high comparable store sales (same-store-sales or SSS) through quality controls, food sourcing agreements, and culinary and ...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
LMT is the world's largest aerospace and defense contractor. With about 70% of its $66 billion in revenue from the U.S. government, the company is well positioned to benefit from U.S. defense budget growth, historically 5%-6% per year, as well as increased global military spending. With a $158 billion backlog and almost 30% of its revenue coming from building F-35 aircraft with deliveries forecast to reach 180 per year (up from 141...