Pitch Summary:
Adyen declined significantly following their H1 2023 trading update as profit margins were pressured by recent hiring to expand their workforce and growth slowed notably in their North America market. On the former, despite the short-term headwind to margins, we were generally encouraged by Adyen's long-term strategic approach in this regard. Many of Adyen's competitors, and technology companies more broadly, hired aggressively in ...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
Earlier this year, Alphabet saw its share price decline almost 20% in the space of a month as fears around the threat to Google Search from ChatGPT and Microsoft Bing escalated significantly. ChatGPT was thought to have fundamentally changed the way users search, while Microsoft Bing, after years of being relegated to an afterthought in search, was thought to have found new life following its partnership with ChatGPT owner OpenAI. ...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
In H1 2023, UMG's share price was pressured by the threat of music generative-AI flooding streaming platforms, competing with artists and labels for listening share. After actively debating the issue internally with the team and externally with multiple industry participants, we believed that the legal, distribution and adoption hurdles that music generative-AI faced were high enough for it to be unlikely to disrupt UMG in a struct...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
Shares in Symphony International rose +21% in September as the company announced an "orderly realisation" of its portfolio. Long-term readers of our newsletters will know that, as the largest independent shareholder, we have worked to improve corporate governance at the company and unlock value trapped in the persistently wide discount at which the company has traded. This culminated in a 2021 public campaign to Save Symphony. We v...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
Shares in Schibsted rose +7% over the month as a key part of our investment thesis started to play out. We will provide an update here notwithstanding the numerous unknowns at the time of writing. As a reminder, we initiated a position in the summer of 2022. We wrote up the investment in the September 2022 newsletter, highlighting the extreme undervaluation of Schibsted, with its then 33% listed stake in Adevinta swamping its enter...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
We also initiated a position in Arch Capital Group Ltd., a Bermuda-based insurance company. We believe Arch is a superior operator in the insurance industry, which is benefiting from favorable pricing trends and higher interest rates. While the insurance industry is notoriously cyclical with volatile earnings that vary based on market conditions and storm activity, Arch has produced exceptional results over many years. Since the co...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
We initiated a position in Morningstar, Inc., a leading provider of financial data and software for the investment industry. The company owns valuable data assets that are widely used by investors, fund managers, and consultants. We believe that Morningstar will benefit from rising demand for its proprietary financial information and significantly expand margins back to historical levels after completing a recent investment cycle. ...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
Tradeweb Markets Inc. operates electronic marketplaces for trading bonds, derivatives, and other financial instruments. Shares rose during the quarter as trading activity picked up nicely after a slower start to the year, with the company poised to return to double-digit revenue growth. Interest rate trading volume grew 31% in the third quarter, up from 9% growth in the prior quarter. Credit trading volume also accelerated with sig...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
Intuit Inc. is the leading provider of accounting software for small businesses and tax preparation software for individuals and tax professionals. Shares increased after the company reported financial results that exceeded Street expectations, with 13% revenue growth and 22% EPS growth in the recently completed fiscal year. Management provided favorable guidance for the next fiscal year that demonstrated confidence in the business...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
Apollo Global Management, Inc. is an alternative asset manager and insurance company. Shares contributed in the quarter. Distress in the banking system from higher interest rates and deposit outflows, coupled with higher capital requirements, has caused banks to retreat from certain lending markets, which, in turn, has led to the growth of private credit. Apollo's captive insurance business, Athene, has seen significant inflows as ...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
Our biggest add in the quarter was Wix.com Ltd. Wix provides a cloud-based software to help micro-businesses build and maintain websites. We have been investors in Wix since 2017, and despite decelerating sales growth due demand pulling forward during the early days of COVID, which has impacted the share price, we believe the company is making significant progress towards profitability and expanding its opportunity in the partners ...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
Coupang is a leading Korean e-commerce company founded in 2010. It went public in March of 2021, and we have been investors in this Fund since the IPO. After spending half a day with management, touring the company's fulfillment center, asking questions, and learning more about the reasons behind the remarkable success the company has achieved over the last 13 years, we decided we wanted to own it in this Fund as well. When we orig...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
Ocean Wilsons Holdings Limited is a Bermuda-based investment company with two principal subsidiaries, Ocean Wilsons Investments Limited (OWIL) and Wilson Sons Limited. The group wholly owns OWIL, which owns a collection of investment funds, and holds 56.58% of Wilson, Sons (PORT3 BS), one of the largest providers of maritime services in Brazil. Ocean Wilson trades at a considerable discount to its sum-of-the-parts, which isn't unus...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
Amazon.com (Amazon) commands a leading share of both US ecommerce and global public cloud (a market they pioneered). Despite years of strong growth, both industries still look to be in relatively early stages of growth and should continue to benefit from long-term tailwinds. Globally, ecommerce accounts for about 19% of total retail sales, while cloud computing captures around 10% of the $5 trillion IT market. Despite its strong pr...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
We want to show the kind of optionality that exists in the portfolio by profiling one of our positions that is starting to work very well. We believe it still has a lot of upside even from these levels. Lavras Gold is a publicly traded (LGC: VC or LGCFF) exploration company that has a 22,424 hectar property in Southern Brazil. The property was part of Amarillo Gold, a prior successful portfolio company that was sold in November 202...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
RenaissanceRe (RenRe)—a 2% position in International—is a company that we believe is better than most at assessing and pricing extreme risks. We know RenRe well, having owned it in the Orbis Funds as far back as 2005 and on other occasions over the years. The company pioneered the CAT risk insurance business in the wake of Hurricane Andrew in 1992. It was also one of the first to take climate modelling seriously, building their in-...
Pitch Summary:
Credit Suisse Group (Switzerland) was the top detractor for the fiscal year. We were shareholders in Credit Suisse for more than two decades. Before the global financial crisis, we sold most of our shares due to significant share price appreciation, and then we rebuilt that position in the wake of the financial crisis. That holding period was troubled and full of controversy. Credit Suisse's investment bank experienced repeated lap...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
Alphabet (U.S.) was the top contributor for the fiscal year. Alphabet reported multiple strong sets of earnings releases over the past year, and its results generally exceeded consensus estimates across key metrics. Most recently, search revenue growth accelerated from 5% to 6.5% sequentially in the second quarter, a notable development given lingering economic uncertainty and broader advertising weakness. Cloud growth remained at ...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
CNH Industrial (Italy), which designs, manufactures, and distributes agricultural and construction equipment, was the top detractor for the quarter. CNH Industrial's share price fell following its second-quarter results, as agriculture equipment sales rose 5% in local currency, a slowdown from the prior quarter. This performance fell below market expectations due to destocking activity in Brazil and some production ramp-up issues f...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
Charter Communications (U.S.), a telecommunications and mass media company, was the top contributor to the Fund's performance for the quarter. Second-quarter broadband subscriptions for Charter Communications grew by 77,000 sequentially, beating consensus expectations of 13,000 and roughly doubling its growth year-over-year. Unit growth outperformed peers, even after adjusting for Charter's rural initiative, which contributed 26,00...