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Fund Returns
QTD+11.37%
YTD+21.2%
Annualized+6.6%
Positioning StanceCONSTRUCTIVE
Market CapAll Cap
GeographyAsia, Emerging markets, Europe, Global, US
Digest Analysis
Quick Take
"International equities continued their rally in Q2 2025, fueled by a weakening U.S. dollar and strong performance in the Eurozone and selected emerging markets. The manager believes this backdrop marks the beginning of a favorable long-run cycle."
Executive Summary
Non-U.S. equities built on a strong first quarter with continued gains in the second quarter of 2025, despite experiencing significant short-term volatility and swings along the way. Ongoing trade and political uncertainties, particularly surrounding the shifting tariff policies and 'pause' negotiations of the U.S. administration, weighed heavily on the U.S. dollar, which slumped over ten percent in the first half of the year to record its worst first half since 1973. This dollar weakness provided a notable boost to revenues and profits for corporations operating outside of American borders. Economic growth concerns and declining GDP estimates from the OECD are likely to cause a convergence in GDP expectations for 2025 between the U.S. and other developed markets. By contrast, several international investment themes have seen rising expectations year-to-date, including defense, financials, and infrastructure. Developed markets overall experienced a strong rally during the quarter, with the MSCI EAFE Index rising 11.78%, slightly outperforming the U.S. return of 11.25%. Eurozone countries led this charge, while emerging markets saw highly divergent results, with South Korea surging 32.7% and Taiwan rising 26.1%, contrasted by relative weakness in China and Saudi Arabia.
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Algorithmic conviction, macroeconomic posture, and risk appetite signals extracted from this quarterly letter with qualitative explanations.
Signal Matrix
75%
Market Conviction
High-conviction positioning: International equities continued their rally in Q2 2025, fueled by a weakening U.S. dollar and strong performance in the Eurozone and selected emerging markets. The manager believe...
85%
Growth Outlook
Market outlook remains above average conviction: International equities continued their rally in Q2 2025, fueled by a weakening U.S. dollar and strong performance in the Eurozone and selected emerging markets. The manager believe...
80%
Risk Appetite
Risk appetite posture is above average conviction: International equities continued their rally in Q2 2025, fueled by a weakening U.S. dollar and strong performance in the Eurozone and selected emerging markets. The manager believe...
50%
Capital Deployment
Manager actively deployed capital into high-conviction opportunities. International equities continued their rally in Q2 2025, fueled by a weakening U.S. dollar and strong performance in the Eurozone and selected emerging markets. The manager believe...
80%
Forward Guidance
Forward guidance signal: International equities continued their rally in Q2 2025, fueled by a weakening U.S. dollar and strong performance in the Eurozone and selected emerging markets. The manager believe...
78%
Language Signal
Tone analysis indicates moderate conviction language: International equities continued their rally in Q2 2025, fueled by a weakening U.S. dollar and strong performance in the Eurozone and selected emerging markets. The manager believe...
50%
Perceived Risk
Perceived risk level is evaluated as moderate conviction. International equities continued their rally in Q2 2025, fueled by a weakening U.S. dollar and strong performance in the Eurozone and selected emerging markets. The manager believe...
65%
Opportunity Density
Opportunity density index indicates above average conviction actionable entry points. International equities continued their rally in Q2 2025, fueled by a weakening U.S. dollar and strong performance in the Eurozone and selected emerging markets. The manager believe...
80%
Time Horizon
Investment time horizon reflects a high conviction orientation. International equities continued their rally in Q2 2025, fueled by a weakening U.S. dollar and strong performance in the Eurozone and selected emerging markets. The manager believe...