The managers believe a new long inflationary cycle has begun, similar to the 1970s. They argue that political pressure on the Federal Reserve will lead to monetary accommodation, just as it did with Martin and Burns. They expect Trump to pressure Powell into cutting rates or replacing him with a more compliant successor.
Commodities are as undervalued relative to stocks as they have ever been, marking the fourth episode of extreme undervaluation in 125 years. The authors believe the time to buy natural resource equities has arrived as the long-dormant bull market may be stirring again. History shows every commodity bear cycle has ended with a monetary regime shock.
Central Banks, commodities, Depletion, energy, gold, Natural Gas, oil, Permian
Conventional oil production has peaked globally and unconventional production growth is concentrated in just six counties in West Texas. The Permian Basin shows signs of depletion with per-well productivity declining 6% year-over-year for the first time. The firm predicts Hubbert's Peak is finally here with the Permian likely to peak within twelve months.
This report provides a detailed summary of investor holdings for a
specified stock ticker, highlighting key metrics such as fund
name, total assets under management (AUM), invested value,
portfolio weight, and shares owned. It also tracks changes in
share ownership during the last quarter, including the percentage
of shares bought or sold and the percentage of outstanding shares
owned. The data is generated using an API that processes investor
holdings and calculates these values for each fund. This report
helps investors and analysts monitor the stock positions of major
funds, identify investment trends, and assess the influence of
large investors on individual stocks.