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Fund Returns
QTD-4.2%
YTD-6.92%
Annualized+0.0972%
Positioning StanceCONSTRUCTIVE
Market CapSmallCap
Digest Analysis
Quick Take
"Madison Small Cap Fund struggled in 2025 as the market favored speculative, unprofitable assets over fundamental quality. The fund capitalized on the valuation disconnect in Q4 to aggressively rotate into high-conviction, durable compounders."
Executive Summary
The Madison Small Cap Fund experienced a deeply disappointing 2025, significantly underperforming the Russell 2000 benchmark. This underperformance was driven by an extremely speculative market environment that heavily favored unprofitable, pre-revenue companies linked to the AI boom, while punishing defensive sectors like Consumer Staples. Despite strong stock selection in Information Technology (such as Ciena and Confluent), the fund was dragged down by its largest position (Encompass Health Care) and hits to consumer holdings (Primo Brands, Scotts Miracle-Gro). During Q4 2025, the fund actively reallocated capital by exiting positions with extreme valuations (CIEN, CFLT) or heightened balance-sheet risks (WAL, CCOI) and establishing new high-conviction positions in depressed software, medtech, and industrial names (MIR, VCEL, AMPL, VIAV, GTLB, AAON). The managers maintain a constructive, long-term outlook focused on quality compounders with durable moats.
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Algorithmic conviction, macroeconomic posture, and risk appetite signals extracted from this quarterly letter with qualitative explanations.
Signal Matrix
85%
Market Conviction
High-conviction positioning: Madison Small Cap Fund struggled in 2025 as the market favored speculative, unprofitable assets over fundamental quality. The fund capitalized on the valuation disconnect in Q4 to ...
75%
Growth Outlook
Market outlook remains moderate conviction: Madison Small Cap Fund struggled in 2025 as the market favored speculative, unprofitable assets over fundamental quality. The fund capitalized on the valuation disconnect in Q4 to ...
65%
Risk Appetite
Risk appetite posture is low conviction: Madison Small Cap Fund struggled in 2025 as the market favored speculative, unprofitable assets over fundamental quality. The fund capitalized on the valuation disconnect in Q4 to ...
80%
Capital Deployment
Manager actively deployed capital into high-conviction opportunities. Madison Small Cap Fund struggled in 2025 as the market favored speculative, unprofitable assets over fundamental quality. The fund capitalized on the valuation disconnect in Q4 to ...
80%
Forward Guidance
Forward guidance signal: Madison Small Cap Fund struggled in 2025 as the market favored speculative, unprofitable assets over fundamental quality. The fund capitalized on the valuation disconnect in Q4 to ...
80%
Language Signal
Tone analysis indicates above average conviction language: Madison Small Cap Fund struggled in 2025 as the market favored speculative, unprofitable assets over fundamental quality. The fund capitalized on the valuation disconnect in Q4 to ...
70%
Perceived Risk
Perceived risk level is evaluated as above average conviction. Madison Small Cap Fund struggled in 2025 as the market favored speculative, unprofitable assets over fundamental quality. The fund capitalized on the valuation disconnect in Q4 to ...
80%
Opportunity Density
Opportunity density index indicates high conviction actionable entry points. Madison Small Cap Fund struggled in 2025 as the market favored speculative, unprofitable assets over fundamental quality. The fund capitalized on the valuation disconnect in Q4 to ...
85%
Time Horizon
Investment time horizon reflects a high conviction orientation. Madison Small Cap Fund struggled in 2025 as the market favored speculative, unprofitable assets over fundamental quality. The fund capitalized on the valuation disconnect in Q4 to ...