FNMA Archives

Letters With This Ticker

Quarter	Letter Date	Fund Name	QTD	YTD	Tickers	Keywords/Themes	Theme Commentary	Pitches	Letter
2025 Q2	Aug 20, 2025	Pershing Square Holdings	-	15.5%	AMZN, BN.TO, CMG, FMCC, FNMA, GOOGL, HHH, HLT, HTZ, NKE, QSR, UBER, UMG.AS	AI, E-Commerce, large cap, Music, technology, Travel, value	Amazon's AWS cloud business is well-positioned to capitalize on AI-driven growth with customer demand for AI compute far exceeding supply. Alphabet's AI leadership is evident through AI Overviews serving over two billion users and strong performance across its consumer app portfolio with AI-powered features.		View
2025 Q2	Jul 22, 2025	Third Avenue Real Estate Value Fund	6.8%	6.4%	AMH, BAM, BN, CBRE, DHI, FMCC, FNMA, FPH, FR, GRI.L, JLL, JM.SI, LEN, PHM, PLD, RYN, SKY, SUI, UHAL, UTG.L, WCC, WY	GSEs, Industrial, Manufacturing, Onshoring, real estate, REITs, Residential, value	Supply chain disruptions from Covid-19 have accelerated efforts to reshore critical industries including defense, pharmaceuticals, semiconductors, and materials. U.S. manufacturing investment has increased three-fold over five years to $230 billion annually, with nearly $2 trillion of reshoring initiatives announced since 2023.	J36.SI SKY WCC PLD JAR LN SKY WCC PLD	View
2024 Q1	May 7, 2024	Third Avenue Real Estate Value Fund	15.7%	0.0%	AMH, BKG.L, BN, BYG.L, CBRE, DHI, FMCC, FNF, FNMA, GRI.L, JLL, LEN, LOW, PLD, RYN, SEGRO.L, SUI, SVS.L, UHAL, WY	active management, Data centers, Homebuilders, real estate, REITs, value	AI and LLM advancements are driving enormous capital requirements for data center buildout and colossal power needs. Data center demand expected to increase 10% annually through 2030, requiring 18 Gigawatts of incremental power. Fund avoids direct data center REIT exposure due to supply concerns and low free cash flow yields of 2.5%.		View
2026 Q1	Apr 22, 2026	Third Avenue Real Estate Value Fund	-10.1%	-10.1%	0101.HK, 1113.HK, BKG.L, BRK, BYG.L, CBRE, FMCC, FNMA, FR, J36.SI, JLL, LEN, PLD, SVS.L, WCC	Commercial, demographics, international, real estate, REITs, Residential, value		0010.HK BKD	View
2025 Q4	Feb 3, 2026	John Hancock Bond Fund	1.0%	7.7%	AAL, BAC, DELL, F, FMCC, FNMA, JPM, WFC	Bonds, credit, duration, Fed policy, fixed income, Mortgage	The fund maintained significant overweight positions in agency MBS, focusing on middle coupon stack securities (4.0% to 5.5% coupons) for higher income and prepayment protection. Agency MBS was the top performing market segment and remained attractive versus corporates despite tightening spreads. The managers reduced allocations to investment-grade and high-yield corporates due to very tight yield spreads versus history. They focused on optimizing income through security selection rather than adding material risk given current tight valuations. The Fed enacted two quarter-point rate cuts in Q4, bringing total 2025 reductions to 75 basis points. The fund maintained neutral duration positioning and retained bias for yield curve steepening through intermediate-term overweights.		View
2025 Q4	Feb 11, 2026	Pershing Square Holdings	-5.4%	20.9%	AMZN, BN, CMG, FMCC, FNMA, GOOG, HHH, HLT, HTZ, META, NKE, QSR, UBER, UMG.AS	AI, Concentration, growth, megacaps, Performance, Quality, technology, valuation	AI is having a transformative impact across portfolio companies, particularly in search, cloud computing, and digital advertising. Google's AI Overviews reach over 2 billion users globally, while AWS benefits from AI-driven compute demand requiring datacenter capacity doubling through 2027. Meta leverages AI for content recommendation and ad targeting improvements. AWS operates as the leading cloud hyperscaler in a highly concentrated market, growing 20% annually at $140 billion run-rate despite capacity constraints. The planned doubling of datacenter capacity through 2027 is expected to be rapidly absorbed by scaling AI inference workloads. Amazon operates the largest global e-commerce platform enabled by a unique logistics network fulfilling over $700 billion in gross merchandise value annually. The retail business has significant margin expansion opportunity through increasing advertising revenue mix, network density, and automation initiatives. Digital advertising represents a secularly fast-growing space with Meta as the dominant leader serving over 3.5 billion daily active users. AI-driven content recommendation systems and granular consumer behavior visibility enable highly precise ad targeting, making these platforms essential for businesses. Universal Music Group operates as a high-quality, capital-light business benefiting from greater music consumption. Streaming 2.0 deals incorporating wholesale price increases should drive higher subscription revenue growth, while AI partnerships with new platforms create additional monetization opportunities. Uber demonstrates strong momentum with 19% bookings growth and accelerating user engagement reaching new all-time highs. The company is positioned for continued teens-plus bookings growth and 30%+ earnings growth while expanding autonomous vehicle operations across 10+ cities by end of 2026.	CMG HHH QSR HTZ FNMA META GOOG AMZN UBER BN	View
2024 Q4	Feb 11, 2025	Pershing Square Holdings	-	10.2%	BN, CMG, CP.TO, FMCC, FNMA, GOOG, HHH, HLT, NKE, QSR, UBER, UMG.AS	activism, Alternative Assets, Concentration, consumer, Hospitality, Music, technology, Transportation	Alphabet's underappreciated leadership in AI drove impressive business results in 2024. Early results from integration of AI Overviews in Search have been highly encouraging with users searching more frequently. Step-function improvements in cost per AI query down 90% over 18 months enabled rollout to over 1 billion users in more than 100 countries.		View
2025 Q3	Oct 21, 2025	Third Avenue Real Estate Value Fund	6.7%	-	AC.PA, AMH, BKG.L, CBRE, DHI, FMCC, FNF, FNMA, FPH, FR, JLL, LEN, PHM, PLD, RYN, SUI, SVS.L, UHAL, UTG.L, WY	Commercial, global, Homebuilders, Mortgage, real estate, REITs, Residential, value	Fund holds 27.5% in North American commercial real estate companies including CBRE Group, JLL, Brookfield Corp, Prologis, First Industrial, Wesco, and U-Haul Holdings. These represent platforms that would be very difficult to reassemble and comprise select pockets of commercial real estate that favor long-term investors with structural demand drivers, limited maintenance capex, and prospects to self-finance accretive reinvestment. Commercial banks are estimated to be lending significantly less to commercial real estate, with current pace at less than half of the previous 10-year average.	UTG CHMP ACCOR UTG CHMP AC ROG BOISE DBK OR HBR LUN CS	View
2024 Q4	Jan 8, 2025	GoodHaven Capital Management	-	-	ARW, BAC, BRK-B, CB, DVN, EXO.MI, FNMA, GIC, JEF, KKR, OXY, TVK.TO	Capital Allocation, Concentration, energy, ETFs, financials, value	The fund has significant exposure to investment banking through Jefferies, which gained market share and ranked as the world's 6th largest investment bank. Jefferies executed a successful capital allocation strategy with $6.4 billion returned to shareholders over seven years while strengthening its market position.		View
2025 Q4	Jan 6, 2026	Tapasya Investment Fund	0.0%	23.5%	0700.HK, ADBE, ADYEN.AS, BABA, BLDR, CMG, CVNA, FNMA, GLBE, GOOG, IBKR, LULU, PRX.AS, UMG.AS	AI, Concentration, global, Homebuilders, long-term, Quality, technology, value	The manager extensively discusses whether we are in an AI bubble, noting that AI appears to be the most significant digital disruptor of our lifetime. While acknowledging extremely stretched valuations in AI-associated hardware and semiconductors, the fund avoids these sectors due to inability to forecast cash flows confidently. The fund employs value-based investing principles, focusing on concentrated investments in high-quality businesses at fair valuations. The manager notes they often underperform during periods of extreme sectoral valuation surges but expects long-term success from this approach. The anticipated recovery in the homebuilder sector has stalled due to persistent affordability issues driven by high home prices, despite lower interest rates and strong wages. The fund maintains conviction in Builder FirstSource despite the housing market recession.		View
2025 Q4	Jan 30, 2026	O’Keefe Stevens Advisory, Inc	0.0%	0.0%	FNMA, GLW, HCC, ICLTF, MODG, NVDA, PRGO, SCL, SPHR, WY	AI, Cash, Entertainment, Lumber, Portfolio Management, positioning, technology, value	2025 marked the year of AI exploration and testing, with 2026 expected to be the year of implementation. AI will unlock efficiency but create uneven impacts across businesses, particularly those with seat-based pricing models. The manager views AI as table stakes that may dilute alpha over time as it democratizes information access. The lumber industry has been in a 3+ year downturn following COVID demand. Canadian softwood exports to the US are near Great Financial Crisis levels, with significant capacity offline. The manager believes they are at or near the beginning of a lumber price rebound as supply has come offline and inventory liquidation is ending. Sphere made significant progress with strong ticket sales for The Wizard of Oz content, selling over 1.6-1.7 million tickets. The economics are evolving as AI-driven tools reduce content production costs from $100m to potentially $10m, improving unit economics for future Spheres and enabling franchise partnerships.		View
2025 Q4	Jan 22, 2026	Third Avenue Real Estate Value Fund	-1.8%	11.3%	AMH, BKG.L, BRK-A, BYG.L, CBRE, DHI, FMCC, FNF, FNMA, FPH, JLL, LEN, PHM, PLD, RYN, SKY, SUI, UHAL, UTG.L, WY	Commercial, Homebuilders, real estate, REIT, Residential, value	Fund maintains significant exposure to commercial real estate platforms including real estate services, asset management, industrial and logistics properties, and self-storage facilities. These holdings represent platforms that would be very difficult to reassemble and comprise select pockets of commercial real estate with structural demand drivers and limited maintenance capital expenditure requirements. Fund holds positions in major U.S. homebuilders including Lennar Corp., D.R. Horton, PulteGroup, and Champion Homes. These companies are supported by near-record low levels of for-sale inventories, near-record high demand for affordable product, and industry dynamics favoring scaled players over time. Fund focuses on well-capitalized enterprises with discounted securities trading at more than a 20% discount to estimated Net Asset Value at year-end. The strategy targets strategic real estate at value prices with prospects to compound capital over time. Multiple portfolio companies engaged in share repurchase activities during the quarter, including Lennar Corp. completing an exchange offer that effectively acted as an accelerated share repurchase program, exchanging Millrose Properties shares for 5% of its outstanding A shares.	DBK GR BIRG ID 2330 TT HBR LN CS CN LUN CN HCC	View
2024 Q3	Sep 30, 2024	Third Avenue Real Estate Value Fund	15.7%	0.0%	AMH, BN, BYG.L, CBRE, DHI, FMCC, FNF, FNMA, FPH, JLL, LEN, LOW, PLD, RYN, SGRO.L, SUI, SVS.L, UHAL, WCC, WY	Commercial real estate, Homebuilders, Hotels, Housing, real estate, REITs, value	Fund holds major homebuilders like Lennar and D.R. Horton positioned to benefit from persistent housing supply deficits and consolidation trends. Large publicly traded builders have increased market share to 55% from 40% five years ago by focusing on attainable housing and offering rate buydowns through captive mortgage subsidiaries.	WCC AC.PA	View
2024 Q2	Jul 19, 2024	Third Avenue Real Estate Value Fund	15.7%	0.0%	1CKH.HK, 4WH.HK, AMH, BAM, BKG.L, BYG.L, CBRE, DHI, FMCC, FNMA, FR, GRI.L, JLL, LEN, LOW, PLD, SEGRO.L, SUI, SVS.L, WCC	Commercial, Data centers, Grid Upgrade, infrastructure, real estate, REITs, Residential, value	Fund has approximately 30% of capital invested in companies with ties to the data center value chain, including leasing powered shells, realizing higher-and-better use opportunities by repositioning land for data center development, and providing energy and logistics services. The rapid adoption of AI and accelerated build out of energy-intensive data centers is driving demand for electrical grid infrastructure.	PLD WCC	View
2024 Q2	Jun 30, 2024	BlackRock Strategic Income Opportunities Fund	4.2%	5.7%	FNMA, MS, UBS, WFC	credit, duration, European credit, fixed income, Structured products, yield curve	The fund tactically increased top-line duration, favoring the belly of the yield curve for its price appreciation potential, particularly from a curve-steepening perspective. They slightly increased exposure to the backend of the yield curve as the more supportive macroeconomic backdrop reduces the potential for rates to sell off in the short term.		View
2025 Q1	Mar 31, 2025	Third Avenue Real Estate Value Fund	-0.5%	-0.5%	4.HK, AMH, BAM, BN, CBRE, DHI, FMCC, FNF, FNMA, FPH, GRI.L, INA.AX, JLL, LEN, PHM, RYN, SUI, SVS.L, UTG.L, WY	Commercial, demographics, Homebuilders, Mortgage, real estate, Student Housing, value	Fund initiated position in PulteGroup, recognizing demographic tailwinds from millennials entering prime home-buying years. Large-scale builders like Pulte, Lennar, and D.R. Horton have evolved to more defensive business models with land options versus ownership, strengthened balance sheets with net cash positions, and gained significant market share. These companies are positioned to maintain profitability and sustain share repurchases despite near-term headwinds.	UTG.L PHM	View
2022 Q4	Mar 28, 2023	Pershing Square Holdings	0.0%	6.3%	CMG, CP, FMCC, FNMA, HHC, HLT, LOW, NFLX, QSR, SVB, TWTR, UMG AV	-			View
2023 Q4	Mar 22, 2024	Pershing Square Holdings	0.0%	6.3%	CMG, CP.TO, FMCC, FNMA, GOOG, HHH, HLT, LOW, QSR, UMG.AS	Concentration, Engagement, Long Term, Quality, value	Alphabet faced concerns about AI capabilities and competitive positioning, particularly around its Gemini chatbot rollout which displayed biased responses. However, Google has industry-leading AI infrastructure, training data access, and technical expertise that position it well for AI commercialization despite early missteps.		View
2023 Q4	Jan 31, 2024	Third Avenue Real Estate Value Fund	15.7%	0.0%	1113.HK, 4.HK, AMH, BAM, BKG.L, BN, BYG.L, CBRE, DHI, FMCC, FNF, FNMA, FPH, FRT, GRI.L, ING.AX, IVT, JLL, LEN, LOW, NSA, PLD, RYN, SGRO.L, SUI, SVS.L, TPHS, UHAL, WY	Commercial, Homebuilders, interest rates, real estate, REITs, Residential, value	Fund has 33% invested in commercial real estate enterprises focused on secular trends including industrial properties, self-storage, and last-mile fulfillment. Holdings include companies capitalizing on structural demand changes and urban densification.		View
2024 Q4	Jan 27, 2025	O’Keefe Stevens Advisory, Inc	-	-	AER, BGC, BKRIF, BYON, DFIN, EAF, FNMA, FNMAS, FPH, GLW, ICLTF, NVDA, QCOM, WBD	AI, Capital markets, E-Commerce, real estate, small caps, technology, value	Nvidia continues to face strong product demand that significantly outpaces supply, with competitive advantages widening through advanced GPU and data center infrastructure launches. The Blackwell GPU architecture introduced B100 and B200 data center accelerators with substantial performance gains for AI workloads, featuring enhanced tensor cores and memory bandwidth for faster AI model training and inference.	DFIN BYON	View

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